Moonhowl

A mere 1.8" IMBY at the moment with light rain.

1 hour ago, WintersNotComing said:

I'll be waking up EARLY to try to get there for the sunrise. Looks to be a good spot at the moment. I'd love to camp but I know there's no way I can talk my girlfriend into that...

I love it when WintersNotComing is coming to where winterwillnotgoaway.  You and Eyewall have a great trip and have fun!  I will be sitting this one out by the wood-stove this evening.

9 hours ago, Hvward said:

I slipped on ice on my deck this morning. I am currently over May. Frosted at my house this morning... 2200’ and a mile from the French Broad. My thermometer said 31.

This spring we are getting 2.5 months of March and last fall we got 2.5 months of August; these transition seasons have been failing on the transition part.

5 hours ago, Met1985 said:

Some heavy rainfall and storms moving through tonight. I thought we were getting dry.... 

Luckily got very little of that last night but the Upstate can't catch a break.  We will see if a cell hits this afternoon; HRR indicates some potential:

12 hours ago, Buckethead said:

Down to 34.8° with a wintry mix in Wolf.

Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
 

From the looks of the GFS you have more to look forward to this month.

12 hours ago, wncsnow said:

Models hinting at another pretty strong trough and cold shot late next week. Euro has more high elevation snow and could be more widespread frost. 

Yes, the east cost trough returns; when this happens in May I always start reminiscing about May 1992, first time I ever went cross country skiing; found this in the Los Angeles Times of all places:

https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-1992-05-10-mn-2323-story.html

Appear to be bottoming out about 37 F here in the valley.  Looking forward to the warm up today and brief break from the wind.

18 hours ago, Met1985 said:

The 12z GFS is still advertising snow for around the 26th and the 27th. The main thing is there is a big signal for another significant trough in the east.  Actually the next two weeks the trough in the east just reloads for us... Where was this at this winter?!

It would be nice to get this setup before March; best of my recollection winter of 2010-2011 was the last time we had the teleconnections set up well during the winter; however, when it ended in February, spring ended up being early and warm in 2011 (based on my unreliable memory).  The 2009-2010 winter was epic.

Anyway, in the month of April, l I don't need to look at the models.  Just glance here and if I see you posting, then I know Dogwood winter is upon us

Enjoy this coming Wednesday because this may be the only time this happens for the next couple of weeks (if this holds true); NAM agrees:

NWS GSP forecast for Avl:

Emphasis on "Calm"

4 hours ago, Met1985 said:

Both the GFS and the Euro are still showing a major cool down starting tomorrow and then an even bigger cool down around the 14th. The GFS is deeper and more stable with the trough in the east. Im hedging in the GFS side because recently it has done better with the medium range than the Euro. But we are going to see temps some 15 to 20 degrees below normal around the area and maybe a chance for some high elevation snows. 

Yes, we are passed due for our annual killing freeze; you would think the plants would know by now that it happens every year

7 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

Heavy rain yesterday evening with Thunderstorms and heavy rain overnight.  Over 2 inches from the past 2 days. We just cant seem to dry out... Looking down the road the Euro still shows a decent trough getting in here around the 2nd and the GFS is picking this up finally. Looks like a rain to snow event then upslope snow for a bit. We will see if this holds but I think it will.

Guess winter will end up being November and April

10 hours ago, Met1985 said:

Ok mountain folks its that time to hit the dog days of summer but first we have to get through spring. Will we have a spring or will we just go to being baked day after day. Stay safe out there guys. Wishing everyone the best.

Maybe the teleconnections will keep us from hitting 90 F before the end of April.

Took a bicycle ride on he Parkway yesterday; it was packed.  Came down the mountain through downtown Asheville; compared to a normal Saturday it was a ghost town.  Seeing that really drove home the economic impact of all this.

Back at you and everyone with the well wishes.

8 hours ago, Met1985 said:

The way the next few weeks look like it could be our last shot but I think we may have 1 or 2 more to go really. Can't rule out April. 

My faulty memory recalls quite a few years where the teleconnections get ripe for cold and snow around the beginning of March, of course missing the heart of winter, but at least shots of NWFS continuing to mid-April.  Teleconnections are not favorable this year but yes, April is always in play for at least a brief cold shot with some snow.  Don't forget Mt. Pisgah in May of 1992

6 hours ago, strongwxnc said:

Found some close to spruce pine. Parkway is closed in spots.

.

Glad you found some snow.  Did some cycling on a closed section of the Parkway near Asheville, no snow at all on the road; a little snow in the woods on the north facing slopes.

38 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

The next 7 to 10 days look interesting.  Looks like we might have a few chances of snow and looks like we could possibly see some of the coldest temps of the season coming in. 

Can't really expect winter until March and April in this neck of the woods  

Hope everyone enjoyed the snow; below is a photo I took while the wife and I were hiking yesterday.

4 minutes ago, Hvward said:

Wow did we just lose Ryan Newman? Man that was an awful wreck..

 

I saw that; looks really bad.

14 hours ago, SnoJoe said:

Back home. Looks like I missed a wild week last week. Rain, floods, rain, southern snow, tornadoes and severe storms in SC, rain, and got home in the rain. I've had over 7 inches of rain in the last 10 days. That's very uncommon here anytime of the year.

A little chilly in California but I don't think I saw a cloud the last 6 days we were there. First time in the Monterey area. Very pretty place.

Fun fact, Monterey is about the same latitude as Asheville (per Google Monterey is 0.005 deg North of Asheville).

Just exceeded 4 inches storm total IMBY.  It would be nice to see some snow flakes instead of rain.

9 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Lost connection to my home camera in North Hills. Assuming power's out. In Garner we missed most of the wind but it's pouring.

Duke Energy Outage Map (we will see if this paste works):

Just now, AsheCounty48 said:

and I don't think it's gonna change. I would be honestly surprised if we almost blank the entirety of February minus a light NWFS event. There's just nothing positive happening.

Sunny and 64 F on Monday is positive or at least if we can't get snow, I'll take it

22 minutes ago, Buckethead said:

Really? Lol. I bet they talked over it...the silence was the best part.

Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
 

It had pretty decent amount of air time; they looped  your video 2 or 3 times but yes, they did not give it the peaceful silence it called for 

4 hours ago, Buckethead said:

Yeah, I misspoke. It stopped at my office, which is 3 miles from my house at the rear entrance to the neighborhood. It's still snowing pretty good up at the house, which is about half a mile from the state line.

It's almost clear down here...weird...

Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
 

Saw your video on the WLOS noon news; very nice

2 minutes ago, calculus1 said:

Beautiful pics, Buckethead.  Thanks for sharing.  I'm quite jealous.

Saw a few flurries today at the intersection of I-40 and I-26, but that's the extent of my my winter weather observations so far for this winter.

Always nice to see some flurries at the epicenter of malfunction junction.

5 minutes ago, Tacoma said:

snowing lightly in West Asheville now,

Made me look; some flakes flying on the East side too.