Moonhowl

1 hour ago, Hvward said:

Some very strong winds showing up on most models Thursday afternoon around WNC.  Euro latched on to this solution yesterday and it appears that all other have fallen suite.  Looks like the core of Zeta moves right through WNC.  Anyways, batten down the hatches!

Given the current NHC track I was concerned about the wind around here.  We would have had a chance to actually get a bit of a dry spell this Fall if it were not for the tropics; at least it keeps fire season in check.  Those poor folks on the Gulf coast have been hammered; at least this one will be a little east of the last two in the region.

1 hour ago, Met1985 said:

Enjoy the warm weather. Its going to last for a while. 

I know it isn't popular in these parts but especially after staying winter until mid-May I don't mind this bit of Indian summer.  This Fall has been great compared to the scorch fest last year!

6 hours ago, eyewall said:

Here is the video. I did make some minor adjustments to match real world conditions (cameras naturally dull images/vids a bit).
 

 

Fantastic video!

52 minutes ago, eyewall said:

One more for now (still a few to go through):
 

 

Thanks for sharing the photos; absolutely perfect weather to be checking out the leaves.

57 minutes ago, Maggie Ace said:

37 was my low in Maggie with frost.

Same IMBY; it is glorious to have a stretch of cool, DRY, sunny weather; enjoy it everyone!

Plan to get out for some camping in the near future.

57 minutes ago, Buckethead said:

I've been stuck in the fog and clouds all day and only made it to 54 and hour ago...back down to 53 now with a good breeze. 

 

Wow that is a bit chilly, sun came out down here in the low lands of the French Broad valley; made it to 68 F IMBY.  Very nice day and glad not to be in the roaster like last year.

47 minutes ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said:

If this verifies and we can ride this pattern into mid-October, there's a good chance we could see our first flakes flying in the higher elevations in less than a month. I've seen it a few of times in my lifetime here. 

 

Excuse me while I go wax my skis

Only about 0.7 inches IMBY so far...

If we can get past Sally, I did like seeing this in the GSP forecast discussion:

The payoff from this late week unpleasantness will be our first
taste of fall over the weekend into early next week, when sprawling
cool/dry high pressure is forecast to overspread the East. Forecast
temps and dewpoints for Sat-Mon are more typical of mid-October than
mid-September.

Love this weather!  Hope everyone is enjoying it on this holiday weekend and for tomorrow, happy Labor Day folks!

The Laura forecast track is inching back in our direction; don't want any part of it.

3 hours ago, Rainforrest said:

Looks like tp13 has the potential to give the southern apps some problems next week. 

GFS has it going right over us; last thing we need is tropical rain since it already seems we live in a tropical rainforest and I'm not even in Transylvania County.

3 hours ago, Met1985 said:

Yeah September has been the month. 

Let's hope this September isn't a roaster like last year.

I can't get the bear poop in my yard to dry out so I can remove it

23 hours ago, nrgjeff said:

Apparently the FF guidance is low there. WPC has flood risk. 

On the bright side somewhat fall-ish weather is on deck after the front. Watching the Perseid(s) the other night (only one, lol) I noticed Orion coming up in the East. Orion is of course a staple of the winter evening sky. He's like, hold on, fall and winter are on the way!

Hopefully more snow will grace the Mountains this winter, though it'll be a chore with La Nina. Ski areas need our support more than ever. I'd say if not bar hopping at night, it's safe to ski/ride bundled up with face coverings anyway. Get take-out to support restaurants.

Never too early to think ahead, lol! 

I went out on the back forty about 4 am Wednesday morning and saw over 20 meteors which was nice; sorry you missed the show.

I plan to hit the slopes this winter; per usual I try to go at the least crowded times possible (early and late season) so social distancing should not be much of a problem.  Always nice to think about skiing instead of how hot it has been at times.  Looking forward to some cooler weather

Yes Met1985, a rainy day; just started pouring at the house while I was writing this.

Got over 2 inches of rain in about 30 minutes this evening and a flooded basement.

5 hours ago, Met1985 said:

7th straight day of rainfall already...

Maybe try growing rice in the garden next year? 

Even though MBY went through a dry stretch there were still storms in the area.  Sans just a few days, there has been at least the threat of rain everyday throughout the entire summer.

1 hour ago, Buckethead said:

So I start out this morning at 0729 with a lightning strike that took out my modem and router and knocked out power and knocked down two 80' chestnuts.

That was probably the most intense electrical storm I've seen up here. The hailstorm we had last month was tamer than this.

Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
 

Holy cow, I had no idea there were storms in the area until I looked at the radar at about 10:30 am (I took the pictures at 6:51 am).  The power of storms is always fascinating to see but the damage sucks. 

Have since had some light rain here but nothing like what you had.

Was nice to finally get a tiny bit of rain yesterday which contributed to the inversion valley fog this morning.  Attached a few pictures from a sunrise bicycle ride on the Parkway this morning:

16 hours ago, Buckethead said:

I haven't had a drop of rain at my house in over a week now. Storms all around almost daily, but nothing.

Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
 

Same here, had lightning within 1/4 mile of the house but no more than a few drops of rain. 

Looking at the GFS it appears the next cool down is courtesy of air getting funneled down here from Hudson Bay, unbelievable on the ways air from the north ends up IMBY this spring. 

1 hour ago, Sw NC weather said:

Looks like we’re heading towards a cooler and wet pattern next week.

I believe this is what Met1985 was alluding to in is comment about the Euro 10 days ago.  The models have accurately sniffed out the cut-off lows well in advance in recent months.

10 hours ago, Met1985 said:

Looking at the EURO and the GFS, it looks unsettled and another decent cool shot down the road.

I had wanted to do some back country camping now that the USFS is allowing it in many places but ain't going in the rain.  Looks like the 2.5 months of March we had has also resulted in an extended monsoon season. 

14 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

What a raw and nasty morning.  Reminds me of early November. 

Mother nature has issued a stay inside order