Digityman

13 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Maybe 1-2", Don't look at the ranges, Look at the point forecast if the GYX map is what your talking about, Lew is 1" outside the lower 12-18" range

@Lava Rock @dryslot 

For the first time in a while, I think @tunafish and I are liking being about a mile off the coast....

This place is also great advertising for psychiatrists.  More that 300 page of a rollercoaster of emotions.  Will she, won't she...   This has been a very long week.  

Dang, that's cold.  60 degrees to reach freezing.  It's kind of amazing actually.  In 2 months with some luck, we'll be walking around in T-shirts.  

Hi George.
40-60 seems a bit over done.  With my very little knowledge of meteorology, I'd think you'd have to have blocking to get those amounts.   I could see some spots with 30 or slightly more.  I think 20-30 could be common through Boston area and up the Maine coast.   I guess we'll see.

2 hours ago, SJonesWX said:

i hope his balls didn't freeze to the ice like Charlie in the movie Joe Dirt

Ha.  Good thing he's got none to freeze.   

31 minutes ago, Newman said:

Me and some other meteorology classmates/friends are looking to chase this bad boy up there in MA. Never experienced a true New England blizzard and already looking at AirBnB's to book. We found a place north of Boston in Beverly, MA. 1) How does that location look for this storm, snow and wind wise? Euro and NAM look impressive, want to know if anybody thinks there could be a better spot 2.) How does that location typically do wind wise. Close enough to the coast for winds? 3.) How is that area with regard to plowing, etc.?

Fleetwood?  I grew up in Barto.  Small world.

I'm not sure what it was this morning but it was cold.   Pup's breath was freezing on his fir during our morning walk to the waterfall.  

21 minutes ago, Westeasterly said:

So many pages, so little…Maine.

There are a few of us sprinkled in.  You'll learn to scroll fast and look for certain profile photos to  get updates for Maine.

1 minute ago, OceanStWx said:

Great case for why ensembles are important. Despite the op GFS sending weenies swan diving off the Tobin, the ensemble actually improved in the mean, and likely brought more members in that direction vs a few outliers skewing things.

Newb question but are each of those weighted the same?   Is it truly the mean?  For example, lets say you have 10 members total and 8 of the 10 are on top of each other but you have 2 members 100 miles east, that can have a decent impact on the model, correct? 

20 hours ago, tamarack said:

Mine was built in 1975 (we bought it in May 1998) and it was the builder's first house.  Some things weren't done quite right.  The V-match pine floors were face-nailed rather than toenailed on the tongue edge, and we had nails working up and snagging socks until we had laminate installed on much of the area.  The plywood sheathing only reaches within 3/4" of the top plate on the back wall - why they didn't add the 4-inch strip to close off the opening I don't know, but that left a wide come-hither to small rodents.  Th back bedroom (now our computer room) had an unpleasant aroma on warm days when the sun was shining on it, and when we re-did the room in fall 2018, we found the fiberglass insulation was chewed into small bits.  Also, the bottom 3-4" of the cavities were accumulated mouse pee/poop with a reek that was staggering.  We found a spray designed to kill the stench, and multiple applications followed by baking soda took away nearly all of the smell.  We replaced the fiberglass with Rocksil, which is supposed to deter mice.  No smell so far but only 3 summers.  Our location in the woods is hard to beat, however.

Wow sorry to hear that.  The crew that put ours  together was actually an older crew. It was their last house they were doing before they retired. I was here the whole time as it was being built and kept a close eye.   Once the shell was completed. My wife and I did the rest of the work which took us about a year and a half.  

6 hours ago, tamarack said:

L.C. Andrews cedar log siding on a stick frame structure means walls 7-8" thick

Hey, me too!  Built mine in 2009.  It must have been one of the last one's they built.  

27 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

we had it sanded last night, but at $150 a pop, it starts to add up.

Wow, must be a long road.

6 minutes ago, mreaves said:

My driveway isn't long but it is gravel too.  I set my snowblower a little bit high the first go round because if I don't it becomes a machine gun.  I need it to stay packed snow.

Ha, yup I know that sound.  I cringe just thinking about it.

9 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

These are good pics. I tried to explain to my MIL from MD why I leave packed snow on the driveway (down there you scrape all day to bare pavement after the storm and then the sun dries it out). I told her this is what it looks like under the snow on my driveway and I think she gets it now.

My driveway is dirt b/c it's so long.  Typically, if it's not frozen on the first plow, it gets dug up and makes a lot more spring work for me trying to fix it so I try to leave the first storm's snow and spend 30 minutes driving back and forth packing it down to harden it up.  Add the past few storms plus the rain from yesterday, the sun angle and the shade from the trees, it's bulletproof until at least late March at this point I'm guessing.

12 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Worst I’ve ever seen.

You aren't kidding.  I've got a 900' long driveway that's 2-3" thick ice.   The kids want to skate it when they get home.

10 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

this is going to beef up storms. sorry if people don't like it

Kinda glad the ocean water temp in Maine is rising.  Maybe can actually enjoy a swim in it in 30 years.

19 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Funny how every single CIPS analog does not go as far west as this one does.

Maybe dumb (newb) question but if every analog doesn't pull this that far West, how/why is it doing it this time?   Meaning, is this storm setting a new precedent (analog?) for what the forecasted outcome is currently and could it be that the models (NAM in particular) are not modeling this correctly? 

34 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I just went through 7 pages of this thread in deference to other's, thought/opinions/ analysis...  and arriving at the end, I have seen almost 0 analysis at all.   Not one deeper read into the very modeling that is 'triggering' the vitriol.   No history/performance, no bias applications... No comparatives to other guidance, weighting those biases ... back and forth, whereby to synthesize valid, objective - I mean nothing.  And, saying, 'x y z model looks like an inland track,'  only, does not constitute substantive analysis. LOL - we get it that there's not enough sugar in your porridge.

Not directed at you Tip but I'm going on 10 years of reading this forum and I'm not sure I've seen it worse than it is now.  There was a time not long ago, that moderators would crack down on these type of posts.  Not sure what happened?

14 minutes ago, NeonPeon said:

27 minutes ago, LovewellHemp said:

RI native chiming in. East bay and west bay have different meanings than Eastern and western RI. Any town that is on gansett bay is eastern RI. If East bay was considered the entirety of eastern RI, that would only account for like 1/10 of the state's land. That's not really how E/W dividing lines work. Anyway, I'm in Charlestown this year and feel like we should be celebrating the fact that we might actually be in the best spot for this "storm". It probably only happens one in every 30 or so NE winter events

If you draw a line through the middle of RI as far as its longitudinal boundaries, it won't split the state in half in terms of land mass either, because the state isn't a square.

Where is Rhode Island?   And why did it become so important all of a sudden.   /sarcasim.

7 minutes ago, Pluffmud said:

I’m pumped for this storm!

Pretty sure this is the type of stuff that gets you moderated around here.   I think you should tamp it down a bit, maybe even try to put a negative spin on it.

3 hours ago, greenmtnwx said:

Electric snowblower and chainsaw? Does your husband have any yard tools as well Jerry? Just kidding.

I know you are kidding, but things are (thankfully) changing.  I thought much like you until I tried them - I have Milwaukee M18 chainsaw, weedwacker and all of the misc hand-tools for a wood shop and I'd assume you'd, much like I was, be astonished at what they can do.   Not having to winterize everything, worry about gas/oil, will it start in when it's -2 outside (this is officially a weather related post now) and general maintenance is freeing.   In combination with longer lasting, more powerful and cheaper batteries .... times, they are a changin'.

5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

flirting with the notion that things could break harder toward warm and pretty early this year.   But we'll enjoy this month while it lasts.

Would be nice to have a warm (actual) spring for a change.  Until then, let it snow.

11 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Buddy of mine plowing up in the Bethal SR area says there getting pounded with the snow banking up against the Mahoosuc's.

Good, I'm heading up Saturday.   Was there last Thursday and with great conditions.

34 minutes ago, toller65 said:

Less than 12 hrs to go time in PWM area and we still do not have model consensus.... a range of 6" to 20" leaves me wanting for some clarity...

Sent from my SM-G935V using Tapatalk
 

Yea I'm with you.  8" up to 16" is where I'm thinking.   All over the place.

2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

And only a couple days removed from a monster snowstorm.  It’s like no one is enjoying it, just focused on it disappearing, ha.

Hi. Sounds like you are new here.   Welcome to the forum.  /s