It's just barely starting by the end of the run? But certainly at that point in time, it was worse than 12z, and 17z was as well. But HRRR was the most robust of any guidance at 12z that I saw, so it's not surprising that it trims down. There's plenty of support for the strongest lift to be across the okx zones, ala Wiz's map. Maybe he busts too low in the box zones, we will see. I have a feeling that it could be disappointing north of the CT border...maybe even north of 84 but I'm more hopeful for that. SE of BOS/Prov should do fine as well.