JC-CT
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Everything posted by JC-CT
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Like Ray said, gotta watch for trends of LBSW -
That's a 980 mslp on an ensemble mean at 120 hours
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That little cutback on the western fringe mostly seems to be just the normal ensemble behavior of reducing spread, but havent confirmed that.
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EPS mean is a brilliant solution
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I'm being serious too, of course it makes sense, the models dont do large scale things that dont make sense. The question is, is it right. The EPS is showing great continuity right now.
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NAM has been awful at h5 this month, so I guess I'm not too worried about it in particular (Yes it's always bad, but I mean really bad)
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Uhhhh...let me do the calculations, give me a sec
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Not now, based on previous instances this year
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Confirmed for 6z at hour 84, it looks like the euro...not holding energy back like the gfs/nam
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The real king only runs to 192 at 12z, according to my official agency source, tropical tidbits
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I was agreeing with you. Wanna fight?
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I dont think it can get completely cut off from the flow, so I think it would mostly mean wide right
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Not on this one. My concern is it is doing its slow cave thing...I think them Europeans purposely programmed continuity into it.
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The 6z nam is insane with that. Like, at risk of completely cutting it off...not sure exactly how that would play out, but probably not great.
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Far enough out to tell the difference though. Still refusing to hang the energy back like the american guidance.
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I hope so. Refusing to shovel
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Yeah. Although 6z gfs was not good
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1.5 very uniform it looks like
