JC-CT
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Everything posted by JC-CT
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2 cycles ago we were worried that a complete whiff was still in play, and now you want to argue that those two runs "aren't even close" to each other. gtfoh -
I was looking at a more macro view of the overall setup they've settled into. not trying to resolve differences between them that neither model has resolved itself anyway.
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yeah...noise. check next cycle, they will probably both be at least that different.
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ya know, i don't really want to do this right now, but it's starting to annoy me. if you think this is "not even close" for 90 hours out concerning a major extratropical cyclone then all the more power to you
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my head hurts way too much to try to understand this
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i guess. i think it's not hard to see a lot of similarities if you aren't looking for them to be exact clones at 90 hours out. but to each their own.
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I agree it would end up a little more tucked, but that level of detail is kind of noise right now
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The GFS did that too. The OP...not the GEFS.
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The Euro ends up at a very similar place to the 18z GFS
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for what we see of it, obviously
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Euro is still stronger with the northern stream and has a higher pacific ridge. Overall I think this run will be decent?
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Looks like the Euro and the GFS have finally met in the middle wrt the handling of the shortwave in the sw conus. euro is actually hanging back a tad more than the gfs this time.
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Thanks Will, so yeah the control obviously looks very much like the mean did. So it basically created the outcome of its lower resolution version.
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I wish I had access to the control member for that 18z run. If that went unrealistically east compared to OP, this close to the event the entire ensemble suite will be messed up.
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it's just an artifact of their map boundaries
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Didnt that triple bun weenie in taunton just say earlier that it's not like someone is going to get 20 while someone else gets 3
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Maybe the control did something funky.
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you have to look at the context of the locations of each poster. it was further west and stronger for most of us, down here. for you and dryslot, it was definitely further east and weaker. they are both correct.
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i'm impatiently waiting for the s22 ultra
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we might get something like a 90/10 cave to euro
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I told you everything you need to know about what the NAM is doing/showing.
