JC-CT

Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

Jesus you guys ... let it marinade -

you're all knee-jerking these "oh god it's not happening" neurosis and ending up wrong every time...

Huh?

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

Nope.

No, it did from 42 to 45. Got tugged back after that, but man if the phase completed there...

That was a pube hair from history.

I'll take the 700mb deform over my head though...

Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

That is absolutely fascinating what that just did at 39 to 42 hour there off the M/A!!!!!  WOW -

It abandoned the S/stream and imploded a new nadir S of LI ... I suspect that is the exertion/stress of the more aggressive N stream beginning the subsume process of a much more pure phase - yes ...I used "much more" there.

I don't typically like to engage in these play by plays with rollin' out model runs but ... this is a uniquely interesting situation we got brewin' here

Hour 42 looked like it was going to subsume into the n stream, but 45 it just escapes east. It might still get pulled back for eastern areas, but man was that close to something else...

ugh, escapes at the last minute.

It SEEMS like we should get a better phase here based hour 19, but after yesterday I have no idea. This one hasn't acted the way I have expected.

1 minute ago, NorEastermass128 said:

ARW members or whatever they’re called scewing??

Without the ARWs, you would just have the NMBs and those suck too.

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

Lol 6z 3km makes the rgem look tame

Ok maybe not the rgem is f'ing stupid looking 

Lol 6z 3km makes the rgem look tame

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

NAM looking flatter through 30 hours. On phone again though so can't toggle to be sure but just quick glance. 

It is but for some reason I like the look

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Queens gonna queen. The mid levels looked nice on the gfs. 

homophobe

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

How many years have you been around? At least 5 , would think by now........

Long time lurker, great job everyone with some amazing analysis, what do people think about this Monday and Tuesday for snow? I have a snow plow business and I am wondering what to expect.

beats humans every single time. when will we learn?

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

No

always

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

As usual save a horse.

As usual, model blend is the only way to go

1 minute ago, JBinStoughton said:

Ah so that’s what this is about lol

it's about imby snow totals, this is serious stuff

5 minutes ago, Logan11 said:

10 or 12 inches in mid March would have been considered a crushing before the generation that experienced such a large cluster of KU storms.

 

millennial and damn proud of it.

Can we please remember that this is the 18z GGEM, tia

2 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Isn't this a crushing out east?

lol yeah actually h7 argues for a nice deform band rotting over CT

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

I’m old enough to know how rare it is.

Think older? Geez, by your tone you'd think you have been doing this a while

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

A foot of snow is a crushing 

Think bigger

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Lol a 2018 response if I ever saw one. I'd be ecstatic 

You are 20 or so miles east of me?

But yeah, about the qpf output, I probably do. I don't know jack sht about meteorology compared to the pros here, no arguing that. I have an eye for wave mechanics, because they are fairly intuitive.

Soooo....

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Yep

Crushing? I'm sorry, I just don't feel that description fits the verbatim model output vs the upper ceiling of this event.