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JC-CT

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Everything posted by JC-CT

  1. Well they think a good SNE snowstorm is the same as a great lakes cutter. To them it is.
  2. yeah not sure what's up with that. Route 2, I could see being concerned.
  3. It always seems like the GFS overdoes it with that.
  4. It's a stretched low as shown on all the OP runs, so those ones just have the "lowest" low already out east. But I'm sure those members are elongated/double barrel
  5. It actually carries the same dryslot all the way out into the gulf of maine. I really think it was just a function of the rgem's particular evolution this run. If it verified, ooph for several of us.
  6. the GEFS definitely trying to work their way back nw
  7. It looked more to me like a subsidence zone that more or less stays in the same place after the initial banding push, due to the trajectory of the storm.
  8. Lol thank you, I literally just figured out my mistake. But I think he's like 5 miles west.
  9. I guess from the surface to 1000mb isn't very thick at that particular moment, eh
  10. Thanks, this is a learning opportunity for me - so 35F at the surface and above freezing through 1000 isn't going to be a problem?
  11. 1" QPF line running almost due E-W through approx Keene/Manchester
  12. the cutoff for the goods is right around the MA north border
  13. Looks a bit warm, isn't he pretty far out on the cape, out by the elbow?
  14. Yeah exactly what I was thinking. It was always going to correct back south, but the majority of SNE will love this run's result.
  15. It's finally snowing here as the back edge approaches, just never really got enough precipitation.
  16. Okay, sorry my nonexistent meteorology degree isn't from an ivy league school, or even worse, that it is from Brown. So you are saying that the kicker wasn't there 4 days ago on the GFS, and now it is there on the GFS, and that's why the GFS is currently 100 miles south of some other guidance. I will have to mull this over.
  17. I was just saying that the existence of that feature doesn't explain the GFS' handling of cyclogenesis compared to other models that are further north. I agree that look from the 12/10 06z run was more dynamic, but it also resulted verbatim in a rainstorm east of 91.
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