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JC-CT

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Everything posted by JC-CT

  1. JC-CT
    How many inches does this look like?
  2. JC-CT
    Thank you. Do you happen to know how much snow Philly will be getting?
  3. JC-CT
    The NAM will come south by another 25 miles and that is exactly what everyone will be saying.
  4. JC-CT
    I'm not seeing anything on any model indicating widespread amounts higher than maybe 15" for the most aggressive runs
  5. JC-CT
  6. JC-CT
    He did exactly what he said he would do
  7. JC-CT
  8. JC-CT
  9. JC-CT
    still pretty amped
  10. JC-CT
    Meh, those in the 12-18 range are actually 13.
  11. JC-CT
    I believe the rgem is going to adjust south as well at 18z, based on early frames, but not 100% on that
  12. JC-CT
    They are not shying away from the dryslot
  13. JC-CT
    and of course, thermals lol
  14. JC-CT
    The differences in the general evolution on the models are minor at this point, but overall qpf output and the exact location of jacks and subby zones mean a lot.
  15. JC-CT
    checked my records - 11" of snow + a full inch of sleet Kevin had 14"
  16. JC-CT
    Then of course, way out of its range but the HRRR actually dryslots Dendrite, almost gets PF into the mid levels, and is close to giving half of CT an ice storm.
  17. JC-CT
    Yeah, but it always takes a while no matter what for them to really hone in on something. When you look at the 12z runs, they are in really good agreement.
  18. JC-CT
    I'm going to say that this is the post that got under people's skin.
  19. JC-CT
    btw, the Euro and GFS are virtually identical now. That's the forecast.
  20. JC-CT
    fixed it
  21. JC-CT
    ehhhhhh...plenty of "NAMs" in there
  22. JC-CT
    Thats a huge shift is it not? For the NAM? Nah
  23. JC-CT
    NAM is 75-100 miles further north with the slp at 15z Thursday
  24. JC-CT
    you wouldn't blink an eye putting it in that trend gif I posted earlier.
  25. JC-CT
    And it's been very consistent aside from a burp run or two
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