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TWCCraig

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Posts posted by TWCCraig

  1. Beautiful day, 78 degrees.

    Take note, those "clouds" to our northeast are not clouds but smoke from wildfires raging in Alberta and British Columbia in Canada. Impressively thick smoke from thousands of miles away

    northeast_02.20230508.194117.thumb.jpg.232bd3bcaa93e21ab6d7f6b87421d31b.jpg

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  2. HRDPS has 95 for BDL (Windsor Locks), Connecticut tomorrow. BDL is sitting at 92 right now so mid 90's for tomorrow would be a good bet there. Crazy to be talking temps near 100 degrees in New England in April

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  3. NYC is currently tied with 2012 for the warmest January 1st-March 30th period on record.

    Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
    Rank
    Ending Date
    Mean Avg Temperature Jan 1 to Mar 30
    Missing Count
    1 2023-03-30 43.1 1
    - 2012-03-30 43.1 0
    3 2020-03-30 42.4 0
    4 1990-03-30 42.1 0
    5 1998-03-30 41.7 0
    6 2002-03-30 41.4 0
    7 2016-03-30 40.2 0
    8 1949-03-30 40.0 0
    9 2006-03-30 39.8 0
    - 1991-03-30 39.8 0
    11 1953-03-30 39.7 0
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  4. The difference is probably resulting from using different climate averages. Tropical tidbits looks to be using CFSR 1981-2010, Weatherbell is using ECMWF ERA-5 1991-2020. Weathermodels.com appears to be using some 20-year average. The differences could also be resulting from whether it's a instantaneous snapshot of temperature anomalies, or the average of the anomalies over the past 6 to 12 hours

  5. Most sites on Long Island are 60+ already except Montauk. Already exceeding the lower-end model forecasts for today. RGEM, HRDPS, HRRR had the right idea. HRRR has 71 later for ISP. Would be the all-time record. We'll see, we have clouds and the sea breeze which could easily prevent that

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  6. If NYC doesn't get 8 more freezes by the end of the month, this winter (Dec-Feb) will have the fewest number of minimum temperatures below 32 degrees on record. NYC has 24 so far

    December through February
    Rank
    Season
    Number of Days Min Temperature <= 32
    Missing Count
    1 2022-2023 24 18
    2 1997-1998 32 0
    3 2011-2012 33 0
    4 2016-2017 35 0
    - 2001-2002 35 0
    6 2015-2016 36 0
    7 2019-2020 38 0
    - 1931-1932 38 0
    9 1998-1999 41 0
    10 1982-1983 42 0

     

    If we count the whole season from fall to spring, 2012 looks tough to beat but top 5 is very possible

    October 1st through May 10th
    Rank
    Ending Date
    Number of Days Min Temperature <= 32 Oct 1 to May 10
    Missing Count
    1 2023-05-10 27 89
    2 2012-05-10 37 0
    3 2002-05-10 47 0
    4 2020-05-10 48 0
    - 2016-05-10 48 0
    6 2017-05-10 49 0
    - 1998-05-10 49 0
    8 1999-05-10 52 0
    9 1983-05-10 53 0
    10 1991-05-10 54 0
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  7. Just now, coastalplainsnowman said:

    Is it noteworthy that Montauk hit 0 while White Plains only got down to 1?  Westhampton hitting 0 I understand, what with its freakish radiational cooling, but Montauk?   I thought that was interesting.

    It wasn't the radiational cooling this time, it was cold air advection. The core of the cold was to our north & east, so places north & east saw colder temps than those further west.

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