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mitchnick

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  1. mitchnick
    That's what the Cfs2 was showing over 3 months ago when I posted. I was just the messenger. Obviously, Cfs2 forecast, updated multiple times a day, changed.
  2. mitchnick
    He's not talking about right now, but that it will trend more basin wide as supported by subsurface and is depicted on seasonal models. Models apparently seeing westerly anomalies weakening during the fall allowing trades to move the warmth in the esst back west.
  3. mitchnick
    Last year was okay up top. My thought was because the sun was so active it acted more like a peaking solar cycle even being technically past the peak as on the way up is generallybetter than down. Maybe it's already been mentioned by another(s) on or off this Board idk. Just a hunch. If correct, an active sun might give a better result....just a weenie WAG!
  4. mitchnick
    I swear, every time I see you posting Jeff Berardelli, because of that cartoon pic, the same initials and similar name structure, I think you're posting JB (Bastardi). Lol Am I the only one?
  5. mitchnick
    5 day average https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=eps&region=us&pkg=z500aMean&runtime=2026071400&fh=264
  6. mitchnick
    Eps says it's coming to a N. Hemisphere near you. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=eps&region=us&pkg=z500a&runtime=2026071400&fh=210
  7. mitchnick
    Knock yourself out! Lol https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/cfsv2_fcst_history/
  8. mitchnick
    Well, that slow change may just be as a result of the fast warming. Give it some time before dropping the lifeboats.lifeboat. Edit: Iow, the atmosphere just may need time to catch up to a Niño that has warmed as fast as this one.
  9. mitchnick
    I agree, but there are signs of troughiness forming in the east and ridging out west on the 12z Eps. You can see it happening if you put this link in motion. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=eps&region=namer&pkg=z500a&runtime=2026071212&fh=0
  10. mitchnick
    Irrelevant then. Wrong forum anyway.
  11. mitchnick
    Except the United States just celebrated 250 years and your graph only goes back to 1900, soooo....
  12. mitchnick
    There's time for the PDO to cooperate. Once the Niño conditions in the N. Hemisphere get truly established, as in October, we might see a flip to at least neutral imho.
  13. mitchnick
    1.2" from last night's thunderstorm line. Dark green weeds surrounding patches of brown grass. Summer in the MA.
  14. mitchnick
    Take a hike, punk!
  15. mitchnick
    There was also a surprise snow in December that dropped 4-8" across the area. Without checking LWX records, I think BWI was around 6".
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