mitchnick

At 39hrs, the 12k has a 1007 slp in central Mississippi, yet it just punch the sleet line thru mby like a hot knife thru butter some 1000+ miles away. Pretty crummy long wave pattern that we can't keep this storm from turning nasty.

There's really no coastal. Just one circle of isobars. Warm air advecting from the south must have been shut off, but I don't know how or why.

Really odd how the sleet makes it just past Hanover at 3pm, but then starts sinking back down the next 2 hours so we're back to snow at 5pm. But, the slp is still in WV gradually moving north. Take a look at it TSSN+.

I'd take it, and call it a start.

An inch or little less in general.

Ukie 18z. It is over at this point.

Purchase at your own risk.

Longer range Rap currently updating is colder and wetter. Of course, there's the range issue, but it's better than warmer/dryer.

That .02" worth of sleet over mby has been on the prior 2 runs, I believe, as well. Consistency is crazy.

Can't recall the Gfs being this persistent for this long and being horribly wrong. It was equally persistent in 1/16 and did well. Let's hope.

You need to get to know us better then

This is one for the ages. The GGEM 12z run showing snow on the ground at 240 hours. Never seen that before.

Icon has it too.

DC is a good bit north of the 546 height lines for sleet vs usual. Gotta be ultra shallow layer at that point.

Icon Icon drops another 3-4" this week too!