mitchnick
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I will assume, unless you mention otherwise, the latest Euro forecast. What if the Euro or other models cool in November? Still warmer than the Euro? -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Thanks for narrowing it down. And which model was that and which month's forecast? -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I can't lose. If it's warmer, my nice, dirty carbon rich oil bill won't be so bad this year. If it's not, it'll snow. Of course, you didn't mention exactly where it's going to be warmer than seasonal modeling, nor did you mention which seasonal model. But even a stellar seasonal model forecast will be too cool in spots and too warm, so you really can't lose with that "forecast." -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I never would have guessed. Lol -
Sunshine back Nice rainbow too
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Crushing now, but it's a thin line moving fast, so the western horizon is brightening fast.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Anyone notice that persistent block on the ensembles that's been hanging out over northern Russia? https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=eps®ion=nhem&pkg=z500a&runtime=2026101612&fh=102 As for winter, I know it will be great imby.....the Dodgers lost!!! -
You're always colder than modeling it seems. I'd say 30-31.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Not 1 seasonal at any time as far as I can recall had anything but a solid AN for December. The change, if it's coming, would be/start sometime in January. -
3.5" imby
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If you're practicing for winter early, trust me when I say you don't need the practice. Geez, at least wait until it can reasonably snow throughout the area, and that will likely be a while this year.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Euro forecast looks similar to Cfs2 in 3, 3.4 and 4 interestingly. I guess we wait to see what happens. -
Fading blue sky overhead with some tow I'm seeing some fading blue sky overhead with the dark clouds to my south.
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Ninja'd!
