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mitchnick

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  1. mitchnick
    Well, that slow change may just be as a result of the fast warming. Give it some time before dropping the lifeboats.lifeboat. Edit: Iow, the atmosphere just may need time to catch up to a Niño that has warmed as fast as this one.
  2. mitchnick
    I agree, but there are signs of troughiness forming in the east and ridging out west on the 12z Eps. You can see it happening if you put this link in motion. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=eps&region=namer&pkg=z500a&runtime=2026071212&fh=0
  3. mitchnick
    Irrelevant then. Wrong forum anyway.
  4. mitchnick
    Except the United States just celebrated 250 years and your graph only goes back to 1900, soooo....
  5. mitchnick
    There's time for the PDO to cooperate. Once the Niño conditions in the N. Hemisphere get truly established, as in October, we might see a flip to at least neutral imho.
  6. mitchnick
    1.2" from last night's thunderstorm line. Dark green weeds surrounding patches of brown grass. Summer in the MA.
  7. mitchnick
    Take a hike, punk!
  8. mitchnick
    There was also a surprise snow in December that dropped 4-8" across the area. Without checking LWX records, I think BWI was around 6".
  9. mitchnick
    4" of snow at BWI between Noon and 1pm with constant thunder and lightning in the February blizzard. And I was out in with my brother pushing my uncle's van down the road so he could get home 5 miles away. Idk how he made it, but he did. Yeah, I remember it vividly!
  10. mitchnick
    82/83 was east based or leaning per SSTA (some sites have maps that illistrate it better, but I don'thave any off hand), so no need to give up yet. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/wksst9120.for
  11. mitchnick
    If I do, I'll let the good Lord he can take me now. Lol
  12. mitchnick
    Just not too strong of a block...PLEASE!!!
  13. mitchnick
    I actually made a post over in the El Niño thread about the Cfs2 looking interesting at 10mb this winter, but I took it down figuring the usual suspects might accuse me of being a weenie...imagine that, me being accused as being a weenie? Lol Anyway, here was the 1/27 link I had posted. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon&region=nhem&pkg=Tz10&runtime=2026070800&fh=6
  14. mitchnick
    Yes, but the real chances, if they come, would likely be in the 1/15-3/15 period. Barring a miracle, December will likely disappoint if you're looking for snow outside of the higher elevations imho.
  15. mitchnick
    Which, according to Usetobe (retired met from LWX), is exactly where we want it (just east of the DL) come winter. Can the mean forcing hold there come winter is, course, the question. We'll see.
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