mitchnick

My 2 cent opinion is that this Nina's last gasp of strong trades (blue on this map for those unfamiliar) is occurring and will remain until the end of February. That will make it difficult, if not unlikely, to squeeze in anything greater than a 2-4" event (if anything) imho. Come March, Niño conditions will finally overpower the Niña. Whether we can get everything to align (cold and qpf) is too early to say.

Lucky 13 ehh?

GfsAI has a storm for next Sunday. Looks snow to rain, then back to snow as low travels through N VA.

We still have another couple weeks of Niña trade winds to fook any chances of getting Niño benefits. That's just the way it works around here unfortunately.

I'm getting the feeling that is their tendency. Anyone know or remember how they looked during periods where ops and ensembles were void of threats?

1121222111122211121111221111111122211....

AI dry too but for the overrunning thing.

Last night's 0z Euro at 198hrs on top and 12z 186hrs on the bottom. Wtf has happened to the Euro?

AI ends the run with another trough in the east, but no snow unfortunately.

2-4"+

Euro AI is snow. How much?

Got it. With the Pacific seemingly opening up, the models are going to have their hands full with vorts shooting all over the Conus, so I have low confidence in any model, moreso than usual.

How did the AI Eps look before the storm last Sunday?

And it looks to get interesting with the Pacific starting to chip into the mix.

Don't you love that purple over our back yards? Lol