mitchnick

I got temporarily dry slotted, which was frustrating at the time, but the remnants of the deform band finally made it through with acceptable results. That storm was great because of the warm ground, we were able to get out the next day to go shopping at the Sam's club in Severn. Pretty good considering we had 28" officially I think.

Don't forget 1/16.

What a cut throat.

With those snowfall maps, there must be a few really warm members skewing it. I noticed some slp members inland in NC, VA, and in or near MD. They're probably the culprits.

Lots of Eps members west of mean. EDIT: Lots of 8's and 9's there too!

Vort is further west this run, which is good. Better ridging north of Montana too.

Eps improved. Still snowing over us to when it ends at 144hrs. This compared 12z to 18z.

We don't know if this is just a blip like the 12z Icon or legit, which I know you know. Unfortunately, we're back to biting our fingernails again every 6 hours for the next few days to find out. And then there's the "it's all downhill from here" issue since it can't realistically get better than this run. I wish I loved warm weather damn it.

If the AI can be right with this threat, I'll gladly call it a winter and welcome it's forecast at 360hrs off this run as well.

GFSAI is better this run with a mixed bag. Couple more ticks like the one this run vs 12z and we'll be OK I think.

Unfortunately, though not exact, it's probably closest to the 12z Euro and Canadian. But of course....what else is new?

Looks a lot like the Ukie, which is fine by me.

Starving for attention are we?

Yep. Models have struggled up here with their snow happy tendencies for the past few years. Once they finally realize I moved up here from Bwi land, reality will set in and they'll start denying snow regularly more in line with my curse.

"Jumping south" is the phrase of the winter in most threats.