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mitchnick

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    Hanover, PA

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  1. mitchnick
    Take a hike, punk!
  2. mitchnick
    There was also a surprise snow in December that dropped 4-8" across the area. Without checking LWX records, I think BWI was around 6".
  3. mitchnick
    4" of snow at BWI between Noon and 1pm with constant thunder and lightning in the February blizzard. And I was out in with my brother pushing my uncle's van down the road so he could get home 5 miles away. Idk how he made it, but he did. Yeah, I remember it vividly!
  4. mitchnick
    82/83 was east based or leaning per SSTA (some sites have maps that illistrate it better, but I don'thave any off hand), so no need to give up yet. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/wksst9120.for
  5. mitchnick
    If I do, I'll let the good Lord he can take me now. Lol
  6. mitchnick
    Just not too strong of a block...PLEASE!!!
  7. mitchnick
    I actually made a post over in the El Niño thread about the Cfs2 looking interesting at 10mb this winter, but I took it down figuring the usual suspects might accuse me of being a weenie...imagine that, me being accused as being a weenie? Lol Anyway, here was the 1/27 link I had posted. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon&region=nhem&pkg=Tz10&runtime=2026070800&fh=6
  8. mitchnick
    Yes, but the real chances, if they come, would likely be in the 1/15-3/15 period. Barring a miracle, December will likely disappoint if you're looking for snow outside of the higher elevations imho.
  9. mitchnick
    Which, according to Usetobe (retired met from LWX), is exactly where we want it (just east of the DL) come winter. Can the mean forcing hold there come winter is, course, the question. We'll see.
  10. mitchnick
    That's because going east would put them over Stephens City, VA!!
  11. mitchnick
    Updated July NMME holds June forecast in the east except for slightly warmer in NNE and cooler in the SE for December-February. Precip AN in the east again with an increased shield and rate over June forecast. Monthly temp forecast beginning December. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nmme&region=us&pkg=T2ma_nmme&runtime=2026070800&fh=5
  12. mitchnick
    Updated July NMME holds June forecast in the east except for slightly warmer in NNE and cooler in the SE (Congrats Larry!) for December-February. Precip AN in the east again with an increased shield and rate over June forecast. Monthly temp link starting December: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nmme&region=us&pkg=T2ma_nmme&runtime=2026070800&fh=5
  13. mitchnick
    Where'd that come from? Lol Just be happy with the 1-2C+ the Euro is showing for the NE and hope for warmer next time.
  14. mitchnick
    Come on man. Google is your friend. Lol
  15. mitchnick
    Like I said, I agree seasonal models are generally inaccurate. We know this. But using a model prog from 3 years ago as a basis has no relevance especially considering upgrades have been made and without statistical proof that the current version has particular biases in Niños. And since there have been no Niños since 2023, that ain't happening.
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