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mitchnick

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    Hanover, PA

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  1. mitchnick
    My take is that we're .1 or .2 warmer than 1997, some 29 years ago, and despite the warming/warnings, neither the world nor mankind has ended as a result of GW. Enjoy the weekend all.
  2. mitchnick
    Good thing you chose meteorology over politics! Lol
  3. mitchnick
    I'd consider a rain changing to a minor snow accumulation this December a victory. And that's coming from an eternal optimist.
  4. mitchnick
    I not talking about effects now. I'm talking about how things go come October and November which would give a better clue than a few days at the end of August/early September. That was the original subject of my post.
  5. mitchnick
    Getting a heck of a light show down here from that Harrisburg area cluster.
  6. mitchnick
    Same here. I think the I95 folks haven't been as lucky, or unlucky, depending on whether you like to mow grass <which I do not!>
  7. mitchnick
    Actually, I'm with you. I get Chuck's position as he's expressed his concern several times over the the main Enso thread. But I just think it's a little early to be concerned about it. We need to see how the Niño develops and when it starts to fade, then we can worry...and with the best of them too! Lol
  8. mitchnick
    I luv ya' Chuck, but come on. A few days of weather the end of August/early September really can't be tied to the upcoming winter. Coincidence? ...at best, but nothing more.
  9. mitchnick
    I believe most modeling has it peaking in November, faster than 82/83 & 97/98. If that's what happens, an earlier peak, it doesn't necessarily have to exceed those years. It still could, but it's not a given. The faster it has developed, the faster it fades? Idk, just sayin'.
  10. mitchnick
  11. mitchnick
    I wouldn't call it a head fake. I envision something more gradual with full tilt a month+ later than usual. But I could be wrong, soooo...
  12. mitchnick
    In case you didn't experience or forgot what January, 1994 cold was like, enjoy this TWC rerun. You only hear music, but check out the forecasts and obs. Hard to believe we kept getting screwed with the zr and ip for most of the high precip storms.
  13. mitchnick
    Traditionally, the Niño conditions do start to show themselves come September, but they really haven't shown themselves this summer yet either with cool temps. Though there have been/will be a few flashes of Nino, but not like usual. The -PDO and Niña base state have been hard to shake off. We're going to have to sit tight and wait until October or November.
  14. mitchnick
    Cfs2 has been advertising a drop in the anomalies for about 8 days too, give or take, fwiw, before a resumption of warming and November peak.
  15. mitchnick
    Another 1.15" last night. Ughh, the grass/weeds...
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