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mitchnick

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    Hanover, PA

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  1. mitchnick
    Getting crushed in Hanover. Yay...I'll get to mow sooner.
  2. mitchnick
    Individual monthly December and January Euro seasonal maps courtesy Weather Will in the MA forum. https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/62735-winter-2026-2027-historic-potential/?do=findComment&comment=8107554
  3. mitchnick
    Get that ridge max in SE Canada 100 miles further north than progged and we'll be fat city.
  4. mitchnick
    Surprisingly, Euro seasonal still not very impressed with ACE forecast.
  5. mitchnick
    New Euro seasonal has potential written all over it. Very wet with coastal storms clearly favored. Temps look to cooperate (only a little AN Nov-Jan) more than one may have thought with s Niño as strong as advertised. Here's a link to the free parameters. Unfortunately, they only go out to January, but if what it's showing holds for next month's forecast, Feb (March too?) should be rockin'. https://charts.ecmwf.int/?facets={"Product type"%3A["Experimental%3A AIFS"]%2C"Parameters"%3A[]%2C"Type"%3A[]%2C"Range"%3A["Seasonal"]} How's this for a mean Surface pressure Nov-Jan?
  6. mitchnick
    I started to say I agree, but I just couldn't get myself to do it. Lol j/k So, the latest Cfs2 for December! Lol
  7. mitchnick
    Couldn't agree more. It tells me that the other seasonal models aren't far off with their progs of a winter offering legit chances for snow and cold, obviously interspersed with AN periods that will push the mean to only a little AN. Of course, without seeing the monthly maps, there's a but of speculation on my part.
  8. mitchnick
    Euro seasonal temps and precip thru January don't look bad to me in the east. Very wet with surface temps dropping as we head into winter. I bet February would look great, but the free maps stop at January. H5 looks reasonably tasty too imho. Naysayers, have at it. Lol Link to free parameters. https://charts.ecmwf.int/?facets={"Product type"%3A["Experimental%3A AIFS"]%2C"Parameters"%3A[]%2C"Type"%3A[]%2C"Range"%3A["Seasonal"]}
  9. mitchnick
    I thought this whole thread was a fallacy! Lol
  10. mitchnick
    Now you've done it. Just wait for all those 246hr Gfs snowstorm maps this winter from us weenies.
  11. mitchnick
    I'm interested to see if the new Euro will light up in the tropical western Pacific since it was BN last month and only slightly AN in the eastern Pacific.
  12. mitchnick
    With the projected strength of this Niño, anything on our side is encouraging at this point!
  13. mitchnick
    I'm inland at 600', but the hills to my N & NE would be the better spot. Of course, if that was to happen, I'd say it would then be a shutout for most until January.
  14. mitchnick
    Warm early with better chances after the New Year is pretty much what current seasonal modeling (that goes through at least March) is showing. That said, as was posted earlier, with October Niños usually BN, I wouldn't be surprised if someone in the east, preferably higher elevations, get a fluke October or early November snowfall. Just a hunch.
  15. mitchnick
    The exact opposite. I posted earlier that I liked the fact the Cansips faded the Niño west over the winter. He didn't quote me because that the way he operates.
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