mitchnick

Yep. Models have struggled up here with their snow happy tendencies for the past few years. Once they finally realize I moved up here from Bwi land, reality will set in and they'll start denying snow regularly more in line with my curse.

"Jumping south" is the phrase of the winter in most threats.

Eps have been pretty snowy for this threat thru 0z's run. We'll see shortly how they look.

Is this Euro we're waiting on the same one that gave us PDIII last week ago with a foot+? Yeah, I thought so. The hell with that model, especially when it it looks nothing like it's AI brother.

There's more on the EuroAI after next weekend. This is only thru 312hrs.

We all know they can suck, but being constantly pessimistic sux more, so we stay optimistic.

Falls over a period >24 hrs, so there's a touch more

Looks like .6"+ qpf.

I don't care what tge ensembles are showing, all the operationals and AI's are keeping winter around thru the end of the month temp-wise and even with snowfall.

But has a similar storm at the end that is moderate had the run gone over 240hrs.

Geez....ENE doesn't lose on any of the models. Wonder what that's like.

The fact it has a system and that it stalls like the Icon is VERY encouraging to me.

GfsAI is a lot of rain as the systems go to our NW.

Looks like precip around .3"