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2001kx

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Posts posted by 2001kx

  1. 5 minutes ago, MAG5035 said:

    Next couple hours are crucial but my chances for getting that high are slipping away the longer that band stays arced to my NW and north. It seems to be setting up over 2001kx over to just NW of IPT. @2001kx has to be getting crushed. This is the band that's going to see the excessive totals and it's setting more NW than any guidance had it earlier today. 

    Up to 8" with moderate rates. Snowing decent but I probably lost my outside chance at 20". 

    it just keeps getting heavier...up to 13" as of 9:25

     

     

    cc.jpg

    • Like 5
  2. Special Weather Statement
    National Weather Service State College PA
    907 PM EST Wed Dec 16 2020
    
    PAZ006-011-012-017-018-024-037-041-170300-
    Potter PA-Northern Centre PA-Northern Clinton PA-Cameron PA-
    Clearfield PA-Northern Lycoming PA-Tioga PA-Cambria PA-
    907 PM EST Wed Dec 16 2020
    
    ...A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW WILL AFFECT THE ALLEGHENIES AND
    NORTH-CENTRAL MOUNTAINS OF PENNSYLVANIA...
    
    HAZARDS...A band of heavy snow which can rapidly reduce visibility to
    near zero. This band of heavy snow is producing extremely heavy snow
    at the rate of nearly 2 inches per hour.
    
    LOCATION AND MOVEMENT...At 900 PM EST, a nearly stationary band of
    heavy snow was along a line extending from near Elkland to near
    Lecontes Mills to Curwensville and Northern Cambria. The band may
    move only slightly to the east across Clearfield and Cambria
    Counties over the next hour.
  3. PAZ017-024-033-170130-
    Somerset PA-Clearfield PA-Cambria PA-
    729 PM EST Wed Dec 16 2020
    
    ...A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW WILL AFFECT SOMERSET...CLEARFIELD...AND
    CAMBRIA COUNTIES...
    
    HAZARDS...A slow-moving band of heavy snow which can rapidly reduce
    visibility to near zero. The snow intensity is extremely high and
    thunder has occurring close to Johnstown.
    
    LOCATION AND MOVEMENT...At 726 PM EST, a band of heavy snow was
    along a line extending from near S.B. Elliot State Park to Prince
    Gallitzin State Park to near New Centerville, moving east at 15 MPH.
  4. 1 minute ago, MAG5035 said:

    7.0" Moderate snow. 

    That band associated with the thundersnow over Mt Davis (Somerset County) is lurking. I did see the GLM flash product on the COD satellite page pick up on about two or three strikes back about an hour ago. The extra instability likely aided by the SE flow over the one ridge line in that region. 

    Im keeping pace with you so far.

  5. 31 minutes ago, MAG5035 said:

    Wow on the 18z HRRR. And these Kuchera totals aren't doing anything mind blowing ratio wise. Did some calculating and KAOO and UNV get to their ~2ft amounts via  14-15:1 ratios. Selinsgrove (SEG) and IPT get to their nearly 32" totals via a 13-14:1 average. This is doable if the QPF ends up that high in the deform bands. 

    hrrr-conus-pennsylvania-total_snow_kuchera-8228000.thumb.png.89295d7323c02fb2d6f2a4dd3bd2c5e2.png

     

     

    Think I have a shot at 12" back here?

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