Missouri, and possibly E/SE KS, looks potentially interesting tomorrow afternoon and evening. SPC has highlighted a SLGT Risk across the area, and mentions supercells being a possiblity, which given the environment seems warranted. 18Z CAM forecast soundings show moderate to extreme instability building across KS/MO with MUCAPE values 3000-5000+J/KG, juxtaposed to relatively impressive directional shear. 0-3KM Shear of 30-40kts/ 0-3KM SRH of 200-400m2/s2, and 0-6KM shear of 40-50kts... Cap really starts to diminish by 21-23Z across much of the area. Appears that CI is likely by 22-23Z across MO pending the results of the morning MCS, and that there isn't a substantial amount of residual cloud cover or any pesky convection on the apex of the dying LLJ/WAA. In the event that there is minimal thermodynamic and kinematic impact from the MCS, convection would likely explode along the boundary/OFB in the form of supercells capable of large hail, with some incidences of very large hail, damaging winds, and a few tornadoes. Eventually growing upscale into a forward propagating MCS capable of large hail and damaging winds... As usual, wherever the OFB from the morning MCS across MO/KS resides is where the highest potential for tornadoes will reside, since LLVL SHR/SRH will be locally maximized. Furthermore, very heavy rain/ flooding will also be of concern evidenced by PWAT's approaching and over 2in, and a morning MCS going over the same area that the afternoon/night storms will go over... 2-5+IN of rain could occur over C MO, basing off of most recent model guidance. and FWIW the 4KM NAM (which is likely over doing the rainfall) has an area of 7+IN across a wide area, and even an area of 11-15IN across C MO by 12Z Thursday, which of course would likely cause a prolific flood concern.
EDIT: Also 00Z NAM/4K NAM continue with the same general idea...