WEATHER53

Weve been chasing 7+ days since mid December. We got an excellent run for 7 -8 days over two weeks ago. Archaic models and this new environment we are in, and weather forecasting is rapidly falling behind all other sciences. Now plenty will tell me how I Should Be Looking at it but I live in reality. This has been a great hobby and I continue to do the recordings and we are in many cities now. But this model chasing fantasy has worn out. I love obs threads in situation but frankly all the rest of it is just myriad and myriad of ever changing examples of what might could possibly happen .That creates nothing positive for me anymore. Hitting one out of every ten targets is frustration and that’s not a hobby see you again when snow is in reality on the way or occurring

It’s a theory

Is mid Feb (10th to 19th) still on or delayed to 20th to 29th?

Right now an all star event was to be getting underway if we look back 15 days ago. Now the most likely fantasy 15 day in the future looks grand again. We’ve had 3/4 of those so far . At least there is a low pressure maybe for the busted storm but it’s about 800 miles south. Man I’m grateful medical science does not languish like that over last 20 years.

I wonder if a thread that was limited to 5 days and inside could be successful?

Let’s hope so .Feb 5/6 looked just like this mid Jan.

Rough when nothing on horizon.

Nothing wintery pending so maybe the this thread can be busy

Yeah that spotty frozen fog was different . Low of 28

Nope Havent even looked at anything other than the thread title pumping yet another big event just 14-28 days away . We had two nice snowstorms, they underestimated both until 24-36 hours out and have advertised about 5 other events 10+ days out that flopped i remember when this was a weather discussion board with guys from all over. Now it’s mostly regional long range model fantasy worshipping.

Yes unfortunately there is. Another 14-28 day chasing

Considerable action on radar to our west-sw

Feb 15-25 the new Feb 5/6

10% clipper chance NWS DC . On the improve

It’s the exact opposite course to take. 5 days and inside should be enhanced, not the 10+ make pretend

I played also. Just not off the board during just about the entirety. It’s a trait of a few sold weather enthusiasts that the run up to the event is way more exciting than the event. No need to try to disown that

I go by what I see and I believe several other posters commented that during both of last weeks events you were absent. A number of other very active posters in the past were similar; the ongoing event meant nothing, they were already onto the 240 hour GFS.

We don’t need to do that I agree. We do not agree on the efficiency and usefulness of models. There is Way More to my weather enjoyment than following models.. I think it’s the bulk of your enjoyment and I need to be more sensitive to that. In return you dont need to take up a challenge every single time I comment on models. I’m not commenting on You. That might work

We understand it’s an ever changing situation to cover the bases of 0 to 12”._

Bad trend to delayed to later

7pm 45F

Makes people mad to talk “models bad”

Can we get three in less than two weeks that go frim near zero to hero??

Right now we are in 0.5” to 10.5” model mode

Annapolis dropped from 76 to 59 in one hour with wind shift west to East this afternoon