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FlatLander48

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Everything posted by FlatLander48

  1. “"Snow" totals have declined by a few inches over the northern GA/SC zones and in the more western NC mtns, as more of the QPF is now expected to fall as sleet.” From GSP...what???
  2. The one thing to notice is that's two nam runs in a row that get sleet into the mountains for a period that really hasn't shown up before.
  3. They basically acted the same way half the main forum did and jumped the cliff after one NAM/GFS run lol. So...I want to know what happens now.
  4. At what is hour 51 on the 18z Nam, the trend has been to weaken th HP marginally. was 1039 and nearly 1040 a few runs ago, down to a 1036 now. Doesn't seem to affect too much currently.
  5. Bunch of new people...a BUNCH, which is the leading culprit.
  6. the "dry" GFS 12z ensembles still have 16 inches for Boone, quite a stepdown from 6z, but I'm not putting much stock in the drier runs or the NAM especially after the Euro. Now if the 18z Nam or GFS show drier runs again, then I'll be a bit more concerned.
  7. Upped my forecast to 12-16 inches for Boone with some wiggle room on the higher amounts. I'm ready.
  8. It is the NAM so you have to pay attention to it, but besides the control GFS with less QPF, the NAM is really on an island at this point.
  9. You say that, my mind is betting thundersnow makes an appearance now lol
  10. I've used it for a very long time, has some goof info on the site.
  11. I just posted this to the mountains thread, he's going to Asheville for this one.
  12. Here's the moment we've been waiting for! Jim Cantore is officially headed to....Asheville!
  13. surprised no one else is mentioning the Canadian, bombing run.
  14. Nam is eh... GFS is eh but a little better, CMC is booyah. Summary of midday models.
  15. 12z Canadian kuchera snow through 87, max is 2 ft in that orange part...Still snowing though.
  16. 12z Canadian is a monster storm.
  17. LP is slightly NW compared to 6z at hour 54.
  18. At hour 48 on the 12z, the past couple of runs for the same time frame have been trending weaker for the slp, going from 1006 mb to 1009.
  19. This looks very realistic to my eye, all snow in the mlountains and extreme NC with either sleet or freezing rain for the Piedmont and areas northeast.
  20. Somewhat. the CMC has been the true outlier, but it came more into agreement with the 0z run.
  21. ICON has started, let's see if we can get a better solution.
  22. Well, guess the QPF is still coming down at the end of the run. NAM is slower, which is also not good lol.
  23. and the qpf was WAY lower as well, basically everything that could have went wrong on this run did.
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