Ottawa Blizzard

1 hour ago, DeltaT13 said:

When was the last time you saw Toronto near the sweet spot of a storm.  Granted this is a clown map but they are close to getting a very legit amount of snow.  

As a side, note, why on earth does tropical tidbits not show accumulated snow over the great lakes (or any major body of water)?  I understand that the snow won't actually accumulate there but its not as if the snow won't fall there.   It's downright idiotic and makes it harder to read these maps correctly especially for those of us that are close to the lake shores.  They really should fix that. 

Wow!! My first call for Toronto is 4". I'm always skeptical of Toronto getting big storms until it's right on top of us.

My first call is 4" for Toronto.

On ‎2‎/‎16‎/‎2020 at 8:14 AM, Baum said:

anybody going to start a thread for the  February 27-28 blockbuster?

Wouldn't it be great if we had something like the Leap Year storm of February 29, 1984?

9 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Yeah I wasn't implying any global warming with that post even though its obviously occurring. Just goes to show what type of winter 2019-2020 has been. I can see it within a super nino, but in a neutral ENSO state its very odd to me. What caused the entire planet to be so warm this winter?

Don Paul had an interesting article this weekend regarding this.

https://buffalonews.com/2020/02/14/valentines-day-deep-freeze-aside-its-been-a-very-odd-winter/?fbclid=IwAR3NNtz1zvAdrnEkfCUplovYX913QXoNY91XKt0I7yXzWfG1lbMJAOfqPqk

1 hour ago, Snowstorms said:

Aside from Nov, this winter has been pretty warm. Only 13 days since Dec 1 with overnight lows below -10C. We avg ~39 days by the end of Feb. 

Maybe we'll get lucky now and see a nice warm summer like 2002 or 2012 haha. 

I hope not. I'm not a big fan of high heat and humidity. Give me highs in the mid 70s in June, July, and August, and I'll be happy.

6 hours ago, Snowstorms said:

This winter is up there with 2011-12 and 2001-02 in terms of warmth. Well deserved after all the garbage winters we've been through in the last decade or two. 

Majority of the precip should fall tonight. Temps won't be an issue and any changeover will only be light drizzle tom morning. Wouldn't be surprised to see 3" across much of the area. 

In terms of warmth, this winter for sure ranks up with 2001-02 and 2011-12. I don't consider this winter to be as much of a bust, though, because of the snow we've had. Also, November 2001 and 2011 were blowtorches ,which November 2019 most certainly was not.

15 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Just saw a post on reddit.

Comments:

I live in Stockholm and we only had snow for a few days in November

In my 20 years it will be the first year without any snow here on balkans

You really see the difference up here in Southern Finland. Typically Jan-Feb are the coldest months, but now we have barely had any snow. When it has snowed, it melts in a couple of days. I have never seen anything like this (40+) years.

I'm within the arctic circle and it's only -4 degrees centigrade outside. What the blazes is going on

Warmest Jan/Feb I remember in Italy. I was out in a t-shirt like 2 weeks ago, insane.

My 91 year old greatgrandma says that this is first winter in Zagreb She can remember without any snow. That is something slightly alarming coming from someone who has seen so many different years and seasons.

Definitely something to be concerned about. Have to see if it's a trend, though. Europe saw some pretty intense cold snaps over the past decade (2012, 2013, 2017). If a winter like this occurs three years in a row, then we know that something is really up.  I find that nature is always searching for equilibrium, or balance. It will be interesting to see if, in 2021 or 2022, central and eastern Europe get an intense cold snap similar to 2006 to balance this out. Note how warm winters were in Alaska over the past decade only for them to see intense cold this year.

52 minutes ago, snowstormcanuck said:

January 2019, no?

People have short memories when it comes to weather. In late January 2019, my area of Toronto received over a foot of snow.

1 hour ago, hawkeye_wx said:

You had better love winter if you're going to live in the Ottawa-Montreal-Quebec City corridor.

Best climate in the world, bar none, in my opinion. 80s in the summer, feet of snow, coupled with highs around zero in the winter. Ideal.

11 hours ago, Snowstorms said:

HRRR nailed it. 

YYZ now up to 40.8". Less than 5" away from average. 

The snow caused absolute chaos at YYZ. My flight in from Quebec City was delayed by 4 hours. Quite ironic to be flying from YQB only to be delayed because of heavy snow at YYZ!

2 hours ago, snowstormcanuck said:

Everything's cyclical it seems.  These last 3 winters have had almost a 90s feel to it, which were decent for us snow-wise but weren't particularly cold.

Just got back from a weekend in Quebec City. Snow up to the top of stop signs and highs close to zero.

1 minute ago, PaulyFromPlattsburgh said:

I have to work at the hospital Friday. Really concerned about my commute as much as I am excited.

I hear you. I'm hoping my flight to Quebec City gets off on Saturday morning. Can't deny that I'm also excited though.

50 minutes ago, vortmax said:

Holy smokes - 29 inches for Montreal??

I'm flying from Toronto to Quebec City on Saturday morning for the winter carnival. They're calling for 10-12" there, followed by a high of 5 below on Saturday. I'm hyped, so long as my flight can make it up on Saturday! Hoping the storm is done by late Friday night.

1 hour ago, snowstormcanuck said:

Man models have been wildly inconsistent with that secondary development.  GFS/RGEM really trying to play-up tomorrow night vs. tonight imby.

I'm actually flying up to Quebec City on Saturday morning for the winter carnival. They're calling for between 10 and 12" there, followed by a high of 5 below on Saturday. I'm hyped...so long as my flight makes it up there on Saturday morning.

4 hours ago, Snowstorms said:

I've seen the Sun maybe twice in the last 2-3 weeks. Garbage. 

Horrible winter in that regard. Give me 5 above and sunshine over overcast and 32 any day in January or February. Seasonal affective Disorder coming on.

8 hours ago, rochesterdave said:

Cohen throwing in the towel. About time. 

Joe Bastardi also seems to be throwing in the towel. Says the EPO is king, if it stays positive, it's over. Says this could end up being a "Peggy Lee winter", i.e. "is that all there is". You know it's bad when a guy who is always calling for cold is throwing in the towel.

3 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Feb 4-8th was supposed to be pretty cold, not so much anymore..Once a pattern gets locked in its tough to break. My friend has been in Alaska for 5 weeks and it hasn't gone above 0 degrees since he's been there. (Willow, Alaska) He's dog sledding there today. 

This winter is turning into the polar opposite of 1993-1994. That year, the pattern flipped to severe cold around December 21, 1993 and that pattern pretty much repeated itself right through to mid February 1994. This year, the pattern flipped to mild around December 21, and has been repeating itself ever since.

2 hours ago, CNY_WX said:

I’m not sure how they get from the maps above which basically cover the first half of the month to this outlook for the entire month.  We would need to have a much below normal second half of the month. 

It happened in February 1950. Looks like serious cold arrived after the 19th that year.

https://climate.weather.gc.ca/climate_data/daily_data_e.html?hlyRange=1953-01-01|2013-06-13&dlyRange=1937-11-01|2013-06-13&mlyRange=1937-01-01|2013-06-01&StationID=5097&Prov=ON&urlExtension=_e.html&searchType=stnName&optLimit=yearRange&StartYear=1840&EndYear=2017&selRowPerPage=25&Line=61&searchMethod=contains&txtStationName=Toronto&timeframe=2&Day=1&Year=1950&Month=2

5 hours ago, DeltaT13 said:

That isnt a typo, that isnt a spelling mistake.  That is a complete misunderstanding of a saying.  Intensive purposes doesn't make any sense at all.  What is an intensive purpose, lolz.

Things are starting to get really intense here...just kidding.

3 hours ago, Jim Martin said:

I'd so much like to believe this, but we've been teased before by the models this winter.

You can't get more miserable than this. 34F and raining.

4 hours ago, CNY-LES FREAK said:

This yr may be the first yr, in a long time, that both the oneida and seneca rivers are void of any ice, on Jan 24th!

Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
 

There was ice on January 24th, 2012? That winter was horrible too.

3 hours ago, snowstormcanuck said:

I'm not particular hopefully with the primary ul divergence/llj surge of precip to yield any snow.  We might have a better shot tomorrow night with the wrapround.  That being said, you up in Vaughan have a better shot than those of us closer to L Ontario.  

Looks like my call of 2-4" is going to bust.

9 hours ago, IWXwx said:

GFS is trolling the East Coast with a 954mb bomb

 

Push that further west and all would be forgiven for this lousy January.