Indystorm

Bulk wind shear and helicity are both starting to increase from southern to central IL per SPC mesopage.  Line starting to bulge and separate in a few places.  This could get interesting.

Svr storm watch issued for much of central lL until 9 p.m.

St Louis issues first svr warning for Lewis County in ne MO, the first warning of what may be our first genuine svr concerns for central IL this season.

5% tor risk now brought up as far north as I-80 in northern IL in morning outlook due to approaching MCV.

MSC057-081-117-141-030345-  
/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0045.000000T0000Z-210503T0345Z/  
ITAWAMBA MS-LEE MS-TISHOMINGO MS-PRENTISS MS-  
1024 PM CDT SUN MAY 2 2021  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 PM CDT FOR  
NORTHWESTERN ITAWAMBA...NORTHEASTERN LEE...SOUTHERN TISHOMINGO AND  
SOUTHEASTERN PRENTISS COUNTIES...  
      
AT 1024 PM CDT, A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED  
NEAR PRATTS FRIENDSHIP, OR 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BALDWYN, MOVING  
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.  
  
THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!  
  
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  
  
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.  
  
IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS MAY   
         BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES   
         WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO HOMES,   
         BUSINESSES, AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE DESTRUCTION   
         IS POSSIBLE.  
  
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
BALDWYN, TOMBIGBEE STATE PARK, TISHOMINGO STATE PARK, BELMONT,  
MANTACHIE, TISHOMINGO, SANDY SPRINGS, BURTON, PRATTS FRIENDSHIP,  
MARIETTA, GOLDEN, PADEN, CHAPELVILLE, THRASHER, DENNIS, MOORES MILL,  
MOOREVILLE, EGGVILLE, KIRKVILLE AND UNITY.  
  

Still down near Saltillo and moving ne.  Baby Elvis was spared during the infamous 1936 tornado but I don't know if the house was damaged.

Looks like it is heading up the Natchez Trace.

MSC081-030300-  
/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-210503T0300Z/  
LEE MS-  
947 PM CDT SUN MAY 2 2021  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR LEE  
COUNTY...  
          
AT 946 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS  
LOCATED OVER TUPELO, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.  
  
THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!  
  
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  
  
SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.  
  
IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS MAY   
         BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES   
         WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO HOMES,   
         BUSINESSES, AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE DESTRUCTION   
         IS POSSIBLE.  
  
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
TUPELO, VERONA, TOMBIGBEE STATE PARK, SALTILLO, PLANTERSVILLE, BEECH  
SPRINGS, SKYLINE, BELDEN, PALMETTO, BISSELL, BIRMINGHAM, CORRONA,  
GRAVES, FROG ISLAND, INDIAN HILLS, FLOWERDALE AND BOGGAN BEND.  
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...  
  
TO REPEAT, A LARGE, EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY DEADLY  
TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE, TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE  
TO A STORM SHELTER OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A  
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS, IN A MOBILE  
HOME, OR IN A VEHICLE, MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND  
PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.  

Tupelo area in danger if this keeps up.

Looks like Jackson metro dodged a bullet but funnel cloud reported over Pearl.

Big outlets of MS mall in path of latest Jackson tornado warning near Pearl

4 minutes ago, mob1 said:

The storm NE of Durant looks like it's producing something significant. Luckily it's in a pretty rural areas. 

Confirmed tornado with that warning as well.

Maybe a tornado emergency will be issued soon if this continues on the ground.  SE  side of Jackson metro heads up.  I wasn't expecting this many confirmed tornadoes in Mississippi today.

The last time I remember a good t storm here in Griffith was when I lost power during the Aug. 10 derecho as it passed through the area. We do have a good east/west line of storms across central IL just to the south of us at the moment.

We can always go and read web pages dealing with 4/27/11 for a needed fix.

Had some graupel for a time this morning with the rain and snow here in my part of Griffith.

The beautiful bradford pear trees blooming throughout the Calumet area are lovely but have shallow root systems and branches break off easily.  If this forecast holds true we may see a lot of damage with the weight of the snow.  Hope not.

Surprising comment in the Chicago AFD this Friday evening for Saturday in our region.....

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL
649 PM CDT Fri Apr 9 2021

.SHORT TERM...
310 PM CDT

Tonight through Sunday...

[Tonight through Saturday Night]

Main Highlights:
* Potential for patchy fog overnight tonight near and north of
  I-80, some of which may be dense, particularly far northern IL

* A period of steady and at times heavy rain for the entire area
  during the day on Saturday

* Chance for isolated to widely scattered embedded low-topped
  thunderstorms toward mid day through Saturday afternoon

* Approximately 4-6 hour window mid day Saturday through the mid
  to possibly late afternoon with a lower end (low confidence, low
  coverage) surface based strong-severe risk. Potential exists for
  low-topped supercells in the warm sector lifting north with a
  warm front, with a brief tornado and damaging wind threat.
 

2000z outlook adds a 10% hatched tor value for se MS probably for overnight.  More immediate concern is svr storm watch for central and north MS with strong straight line winds noted in se Arkansas.

Here is a personal anecdote.  I have no usable hearing in my left ear and a serious loss partially corrected by a hearing aid in my right ear.  As best as it could be determined this happened as the result of my getting measles as a youngster in the pre measles, mumps, rubella vaccine days of the 1950's.  I wish the vaccine had been developed by that time.  It troubles me that so many people are making this a political statement in one way or another.  I value science.  I also know why some African Americans are hesitant to get the vaccine due to prior legitimate governmental horror stories in the historical record.  I just wish we can work to urge people to take the vaccine not only for themselves but for the common good of the country so we can get back to some semblance of normalcy to address the concerns of many regarding employment, schools, etc.

Saw two great cg's off to the west while in Munster this mid morning....with sonic boom like thunder.  Very little rain though.

Individual self interest and freedom must also be accompanied by concern for the greater good of the larger community.  Without this you have anarchy. It's always a balancing act.

New meso discussion indicates tor watch coming for northern and central MS

Does seem to be cycling....new warning has radar indicated rotation.

Tor warning now for northern Tunica Co. MS