AfewUniversesBelowNormal

Here goes..... I was trying to make money in 2010 to move on, but weird energy stuff started happening and I got real big. This was unexpected eventually by 2013 I met my obstacle to the money piece. So I had to go back home rebuild.... it was surprising the stocks would move against me more than my ability to make money, especially because there was no reason... 

I began predicting weather in spare time to make use of awesome pattern recognition ability and enhancing, and I think the wrong people got a hold of my December forecast because it has not been warm because of strange cold pattern. Now this storm is dry and there is a line going through Kansas to Canada... 

2 hours ago, AJF0602 said:

Really interested to see how this plays out here in Jville. Not really looking forward to freezing rain lol

I'd be interested in how Florida does snowwise. 

Yeah, precip will likely fill in much more. 

3 minutes ago, Cold Rain said:

Not really.  How do you feel about the new Nam?

NAM is a weird model... GFS too dry for this storm. Something much different probably. 

Does it feel like before a storm? The air is dry or sun hot or something. 

This is pretty cool, check out Florida right now.
https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/Conus/southeast_loop.php

It looks like were moving toward El Nino. 

yeah there's real stuff going on lol

1 hour ago, WidreMann said:

I'm throwing in the towel now. If I look out the window Wednesday night and see snow, great. If not, I'll go to bed like usual. See y'all in a week when we can track our next "threat".

This cold will be hard to do again. 

27 minutes ago, Cold Rain said:

Amazing how the GFS is going to lead the way with this storm.

It's kind of it's signature though, GFS does well with S-N storms. 

DT in 20 years... 

The devil lives in Texas. 

I would think the highest snowfall potential of the whole North America is here. Georgia-SC-NC (I guess Florida, that would be cool.)

Not much moisture. dont see that changing. 

On 12/1/2017 at 9:59 PM, lookingnorth said:

The Bering and Chukchi Seas apparently have unprecedented levels of open water for this time of year.

https://insideclimatenews.org/news/30112017/arctic-sea-ice-extent-record-chukchi-bering-sea-alaska-ocean?

Probably not a coincidence that there has been so much -EPO since 2013. 
The NAO has been positive something like 5 years in a row, but if you map 500mb heights, there is a spike positive anomaly over Greenland. 

Check it out on the west coast, another reflection of upper atmosphere.

8 minutes ago, Cold Rain said:

That would seem to favor a -AO and a more active STJ, would it not?  Colder and wetter than normal?

You would have weak cold waves rotating around 500mb high, and will little force anywhere the natural tendency is for gulf moisture to be avaliable. 

This is going on at 10mb and -SOI

51 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

Why would is with massive high pressure building in. Have you not seen the extreme cold coming in?

Because why is a massive High pressure building in? Because there is a warm bubble in Canada at 10mb? The pattern has no support from blocking regions, NAO etc. It shouldn't reload 3-4 times. 

Stratosphere warming at 10mb is heavily correlated to negative NAO 2-4 weeks later, especially mid Winter. This is probably what happens as 10mb is very warm now. It's just really weird to see this time pass without southeast ridge, it's a balance of sorts. 

Negative EPO has never lasted for more than one month at a time.. it always switches. Interesting to see long range models flip back to this now. Wonder what's happening? (It's tied into MJO and 40-day cycle things). 

I don't see any way to avoid a switch to warm. Surprised it isn't happening sooner. 

Does anyone think it is so strange that the SE ridge isn't popping up in a few days?

Aleutian ridge establishes early on, could be a tough feature to move through February with La Nina. 
10mb in Canada has been warm since Dec8. This looks to continue then shift on Jan1. Strong correlation to negative NAO 2-4 weeks later.

It would be cool to see a larger sample size, and also time of year. My guess is NAO is very important for NYC, 2:1 to 3:1 for snow.