mackerel_sky

N Greenville and Spartanburg counties under WWA now!

Just now, mackerel_sky said:

NAMs are all warmer and dryer, HRRR all rain, ground temps torchy, sun angle, every run of every model is coming in drier and warmer, this threats over!

 

Forgot to add, winds will dry out pavement and prevent road issues! 

NAMs are all warmer and dryer, HRRR all rain, ground temps torchy, sun angle, every run of every model is coming in drier and warmer, this threats over!

Currently big random raindrops in Greer! Weird 

50 minutes ago, strongwxnc said:

43/24.9

Current 850 level 

 

 

Suprised it’s that far South, 0 line! Boded well if it continues crashing South. Sprinkles here and 46. Working in Greer, hoping to see white rain by noon!

38 minutes ago, strongwxnc said:

43/24.9

Current 850 level 

 

 

Suprised it’s that far South, 0 line! Boded well if it continues crashing South. Sprinkles here and 46. Working in Greer, hoping to see white rain by noon!

DG’s replacement on WYFF 4, may be worse than him! Max total snow in N Greenville county is 2”! I’m Still going with 4” TR

The radar is cutting its own totals back , as we speak! I can see the foothill snow shadow already, it’s currently in Arkansas! Heading right for Big Frosty!

5 minutes ago, lilj4425 said:

When it’s 46 degrees? Good luck. 

I don’t know where the cold is coming from? The high is in the wrong place!

Futurecast radar, still has snow making it to I-85 by noon here, we will see. Still no WWA

A snowy 46.6

We get our best snows when precip starts at 46 degrees! Hit the lights, this s$$t show is over before it started for the Upstate! I love it when temps won’t be an issue!

3 minutes ago, burrel2 said:

HRRR isn't far out for my back yard. It shows no precip until 11am while the NAM has .25 inches falling here by 10am.  That's only a 15'ish hour lead time. 

Are these the same models, short range, that were showing mid 50s highs in RAH tomorrow! Trust them

49 here, along way to go just to hit forecast of 40, later arrival of precip, won’t help at all!

2 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

HRRR QPF

The current radar already looks better than that! Hrrr sucks, what’s the RAP show?

Just now, buckeyefan1 said:

My gawd it's awful      After the year we've all had, anything frozen falling from the sky is a win, and to have it accumulate is beyond a win win. Greedy azz's     

Bingo! White rain will be beautiful tomorrow!

The crying and meltdowns in the main thread!!! Classic 

2 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

HI Res Nam even drier for western sections. Leeside shadow showing up again 

My total is going up on all hi Rez models! 

12k and 32k NAM still look to be hammering NC! 

It’s warmer and rain for everybody! Sincerely,Tarheelprogrammer and Packgrad05

3 minutes ago, SnowDawg said:

At the surface. But it could also be too cold above. Warm noses are almost never forecasted well. IMO we won't know how strong it is or where it sets up until it does. We've basically exhausted what the models have to offer us, time to start now-casting. 

If there is one, the NAM will nail it. Back in 14, the Euro was spitting out 20” totals , and every one was giddy, then about 12 hours out, people said, watch out, the NAM is showing a warm nose, and there will be a lot of sleet! I got 1” of sleet

When’s the next NAMing? I got to get some sleep!

1 minute ago, Iceagewhereartthou said:

Ouch though, at the temp of 44. Looks like that warm nose is just enough to cause some mixing, maybe it will erode quickly. My temp is 48 now so not looking good for BL temps. 

Still atleast 14 hours to start time, hope it’s not 48 then

46/33 

Simpsonville

Where’s big frosty? He’s the only one asking about his .25 inch of qpf, and sweating about totals, and always ending up with a foot!