CIK62

JB says 100mph wind gusts on LI. Snow for Tues night? It first appeared two weeks ago for around the 16th., then disappeared and reappeared on some runs. What a March we could have had.

The next 8 days are averaging 51.5degs., or 2degs. BN. Month to date is +2.0[51.7]. Should be about +0.3[51.5] by the 20th. 46* here at 6am. 52* by 9am. 56* by 5pm. 61* at 6pm! The next 17 days are averaging 54.5 or about 0.50 BN. Should be slightly AN by the 29th with this. EURO has 3" and 30mph, GFS/CMC have about 1.5" and the GFS has 40mph for tomorrow. These are the peak average winds, not the Gusts. Add about 10mph for JFK. 1 Mon 04/13 03Z 58 ° 59 ° 57 ° 48 ° SSW 16 SSW 45 SW 36 0.00 0.00 554 570 -16 ° 8 ° 10 ° 1020 100 % 5 ° 24 Mon 04/13 06Z 56 ° 59 ° 56 ° 49 ° S 16 SSW 47 SSW 51 0.02 0.00 555 569 -14 ° 7 ° 10 ° 1017 100 % 2 ° 27 Mon 04/13 09Z 56 ° 57 ° 56 ° 51 ° S 20 S 49 SSW 51 0.04 0.00 557 568 -13 ° 8 ° 9 ° 1013 100 % 7 ° 30 Mon 04/13 12Z 55 ° 57 ° 55 ° 52 ° SSE 27 S 65 S 72 0.29 0.00 559 567 -11 ° 8 ° 10 ° 1009 100 % 7 ° 33 Mon 04/13 15Z 58 ° 58 ° 55 ° 53 ° S 31 S 74 SSW 83 0.56 0.00 562 565 -12 ° 10 ° 12 ° 1004 100 % 9 ° 36 Mon 04/13 18Z 62 ° 62 ° 55 ° 55 ° S 34 SSW 76 SSW 87 0.11 0.00 561 560 -12 ° 10 ° 14 ° 999 100 % 10 ° 39 Mon 04/13 21Z 67 ° 67 ° 62 ° 48 ° SW 25 WSW 58 WSW 67 0.24 0.04 560 560 -14 ° 9 ° 16 ° 1000 84 % 5 ° 42 Tue 04/14 00Z 61 ° 68 ° 60 ° 44 ° WSW 20 WSW 49 WSW 56 0.00 0.00 556 562 -16 ° 5 ° 11 ° 1007 60 % 1 ° 45 Remember my nCV19 post weeks ago warning of those tent hospitals being blown away in these type of events?

The next 8 days are averaging 51degs., or 1deg. BN. Month to date is +2.7[52.2]. Should be +1.1[51.8] by the 20th. The next 17 days are averaging 0.0[55.0](48/62). This would put us at +1.0 by the 28th. MONDAY AM WIND POTENTIAL: Mon 04/13 09Z 55 ° 57 ° 55 ° 50 ° S 18 S 49 SSW 56 0.05 0.00 556 568 -13 ° 5 ° 8 ° 1014 100 % 5 ° 54 Mon 04/13 12Z 54 ° 57 ° 54 ° 51 ° S 22 S 56 S 67 0.41 0.00 558 567 -11 ° 7 ° 9 ° 1010 100 % 7 ° 57 Mon 04/13 15Z 57 ° 57 ° 54 ° 53 ° S 31 S 74 SSW 85 0.52 0.00 561 565 -11 ° 9 ° 11 ° 1004 100 % 9 ° 60 Mon 04/13 18Z 60 ° 60 ° 54 ° 55 ° S 31 SSW 76 SSW 89 0.24 0.00 563 562 -11 ° 10 ° 13 ° 999 100 % 10 ° 63 Mon 04/13 21Z 69 ° 69 ° 60 ° 54 ° SSW 22 SW 58 SW 67 0.10 0.04 562 561 -14 ° 12 ° 18 ° 1000 75 % 8 ° 66 Tue 04/14 00Z 62 ° 71 ° 60 ° 45 ° W 20 WSW 54 WSW 63 0.00 0.01 558 562 -15 ° 9 ° 13 ° 1005 64 % 2 ° 69 Tue 04/14 03Z 57 ° 62 ° 57 ° 40 ° W 20 W 45 WSW 49 0.00 0.00 553 561 -16 ° 4 ° 8 ° 1010 0 % -5 ° 39* here at 6am. 40* by 8am. 41* at 9am. 43* at 10am. 47* by Noon. 50* by 2pm. 57* by 6pm. 51* by 11pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 51degs., or just Normal. Month to date is +3.8[53.2]. Should be about +2.0[52.2] by the 18th. The next 17 days are averaging -5.0[50.0](43/57). It should be about -1.0 by the 27th. 40* here at 6am. 41* at 7am. 43* at 9am.

The next 8 days are averaging 52degs., or just about Normal. 50* at 6am. 60* with Thunder/Rain at 2pm. 55* at @2:10pm. The next 17 days are averaging about 52.5(45/60), or about 2degs. BN.

The next 8 days are averaging 53degs., or about 2degs. AN. The next 17 days are averaging -4.0[49.5](43/56). We could be -1.7 by the 25th. with this. 55* here at 6am, street wet. 56* at 8am. 63* at 3pm. 66* at 4pm. 67* at 4:30pm. 52* by 8pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 52.5degs., or about 2degs. AN. The next 17 days are averaging about -2.0[50.0](43/56}. 54* here at 6am. 53* at 7am. 57* by 10am. 61* by 2pm, but 56* at 3pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 53degs., or about 3degs. AN. The next 17 days are averaging about 52degs.(48/59), or about 1deg. BN. 52* here at 6am. 54* by 10am. 58* by 1pm. 60* at 2pm. 64* by 4pm. 65* around 4:30pm. Down to 53* then back up to 58* by 9pm. 60* at 10pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 54degs., or about 4degs. AN. The next 17 days are averaging 52.5degs.(46/59), or just about Normal. 48* here at 6am. 56* by 2pm. 58* at 3pm. 54* at 4pm.

The next 8 days are averaging 54degs., or about 4degs. AN. The next 17 days are averaging 53degs.(46/60), or just Normal. 48* here at 7am., mean looking clouds, drizzle. 55* by Noon. Peaked at 56* at 12:30pm and varied down to 51* at 6pm. 48* by 10pm. 49* at 11am.

The next 8 days are averaging 54degs., or about 4degs. AN. The next 17 days are averaging just about Normal, [53.0](46/60). 46* here at 7am. 50* by 11am.

The next 8 days are averaging 53degs., or about 4degs. AN. The next 17 days are averaging 52degs.(46/59), or just about Normal. 40* here at 6am. 39* at 6:30pm. 42* and breezy by 9am. 49* by Noon. 57* by 4pm. 58* at 4:30pm. 55* by 7:00pm

March ended at +5.5[48.0]. The first 8 days of April are averaging 53degs., or 4degs. AN. The first 17 days of April are averaging 49degs.(45/54), or 2degs. BN.! Even shows (06Z,GFS) some Snow on the night of the 16th-17th.!!. Remember 16 days ago this very corresponding run, predicted a High T for today of 33, 24 hours later it had raised it to 74. Put $2.00 on Betsy's Bib in the Fifth. 41* here at 6am. 40* at 6:30am. 45* by 11am. 47* at Noon. 52* by 3pm. 56* by 6pm.

Here is a scary thought: With all the makeshift outdoor tent hospitals going up throughout the country and in the City itself are they: 1. Heated for Winter and Air-conditioned for this summer? 2. Can they withstand a quick, unexpected straight-line squall line wind of 70mph? 3. If a hurricane is coming which will wipe these canvas and vinyl villages from the face of the earth and destroy all the equipment and people within-----where exactly are they going to be evacuated to? I once approved two tents for a wedding celebration to be held in Brooklyn Bridge Park in the mid 1990's. The job was filed in May for the party to be held in August. One tent was for the caterer and one for the congregation. They both collapsed during a weekend thunderstorm swarm. No fatalities, but 20 were injured. A lot of food into the river. How about an earthquake in the interim. At any rate, it should be obvious from a month of press conferences that we are BEING FED DEATH--PABLUM STYLE. THE NEXT TEASPOON OF PABLUM WILL BE THAT THE CURVES YOU WERE SHOWN TODAY ARE ONLY FOR WAVE-1. WAVE-2 WILL BE WORSE AND START IN SEPTEMBER.

PEOPLE AT CONEY ISLAND PRACTICING SOCIAL DISTANCING BACK IN THE EARLY 1940'S:

Just two years ago this pattern produced 5.5" of Snow here:

59 years ago today, we were home watching a blizzard wipe out the mid-Atlantic and the City*. Anyone here remember if Public Schools were open on that Monday? Mayor Wagner had them opened for Hurricane Donna, exactly three months earlier, and during the Jan. 1964 Blizzard, but closed the next day. *This immediately reminds us of the sad sight of Stephen Baltz, the temporary sole survivor of the Dec. 16 mid-air collision over SI, lying in a pile of melting snow from this storm at Sterling Place/7th. Avenue.

First 5 days of July look BN with little precipitation.

I was on the roof of the building my city agency occupied on July 4, 1986. This was the Battery Maritime Building ( now being made a hotel?),[@27:53 in ABC Part 1-bottom right, green patch] where you get the Governors Island Ferry. Mayor Koch and the Commissioner(s) were just below me in the Comm's. Off. A police security detail was with us on the roof, and yes, I was wearing a sweat shirt against a ne. wind. But it was 98* a few days later. July 4, 1999 had 101* ×2 around that time. A TS that came early, near Noon, one day that weekend sent the big crowd home and I had a hot, wet beach for myself---I had waited it out in the men's room near me. Lol

We are down to exactly Normal for the DJF period, according to the CPC. JB has an exaggerated negative bias where the CPC has Normal throughout SE/MA.

JB still has all his eggs in the basket of the 'Ash Wed. analog 1962' to our setup in early March. SDiM is not on board with this.

JB, never one to admit he is wrong, is now talking about March as he was about Feb. Rekindling the ghost of Ash Wed. NE of '62 and some strong 1984 event. He just skips by the warmest Feb. ever. If he blows it, I am certain he will merely move on to his hurricane forecast or something about putative global warming theories.

On the paysite. Probably will go public tomorrow AM. CPC output has caved too. Tomorrow we will see what they have to say, since meteorologists there lick their wounds on weekends or party for 48hrs. if they get it right.

NYNJPA waved the white flag and gave up on the remainder of the winter. A wrong way SSW does us in.

And they always made you feel like they are in your city. But the same ACCUWEATHER person can be followed from Boston-Philly-NYC at a different number of minutes after the hour/half hour. Really, for two of the cities they are only looking at a RADAR screen/computer terminal and not out their window! Back around Aug. 05, 1999, NYC was hit by 4 Thunder Storms in 2.5 hours, and WINS did not have a word about it in a "live" report I heard while on the beach, despite the fact I was already getting ready to flee from the imminent storm #1 that PM.