FLweather
-
Posts
2,419 -
Joined
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by FLweather
-
You better hope the NS energy doesn't get hung up. Cause a cold rain.
-
Santa is make believe. But doesn't make it real. If you want snow you better hope the NS energy doesn't get hung up over MN, WI, MI. Cause a cold rain shall happen.
-
Space X Falcon 9 was a beautiful launch. Pretty well on Launch time. About 7:15.
-
Beautiful warm night for a rocket launch. Space X Falcon 9. Set to blast off between 7:10pm and 8:38 pm. Currently upper 70s
-
12z cmc 18z gfs
-
Looks like 12z cmc. Holds energy back over MN,WI,MI. Not allowing it to come south. Not gonna cut it if you want and UL snowfall.
-
Wow. That would equate to roughly 18" off of little over 1" liquid. Fluffy dry powder.
-
It's a start. But wants to hang on too much energy over MN,WI,MI. That little UL will be potentially a problem. Not allowing enough energy to swing south.
-
Sometimes you got to wonder Why us taxpayers continue to fund this weather computer model.
-
That's my thought too. With the evolution of h5 as being shown atm. Favors a strong Se to NW. Backing against the apps. A eastern upslope snow storm. If signals continue.
-
Typically for a good SE snowstorm to happen You need a Texas low crossing the GOM up the EC. High pressure. To the north. But this system dropping in from the NW. Its weird. Typically when a system drops in from the NW it doesn't work out. Maybe a clipper But atm extremely weird.
-
Unorthodox is a correct term. Just the beginning of signals. But if atm any where near correct. There will be a strong upslope flow on the eastern side of the Apps. A strong east to NW flow back against the apps. From VA mountains to NC mountains potential see a huge snowstorm.
-
Don't think I've seen this before. Weird angle for a UL to approach from. Temps maybe marginal. But the angle of the UL and Surface low. Definitely favor a upslope flow for eastern side of the Apps/Blueridge. Southeast to Northwest flow snow.
-
There was a reported EF1 tornado to touched from south Bunnell FL to Flagler Beach FL. Roughly 12 mile long path. Just before 6am with the squall line that came through this morning. Very rural area. Other than the rain this morning. Clear skies and cooling off.
-
Upper 60s atm. Mild Saturday morning. A squall line heading into the area. From Brunswick GA south. Strangely under a severe thunderstorm watch till 11. Those don't happen very often around here. But looks like a quick blast of rain then sun for the rest of the day.
-
Fog and low 70s. Had some decent rains yesterday and today... not much though. Nice looking storms in the cool sector over AL and FL panhandle atm. Hopefully the line of storms will grow as the trough axis swings through early morning.
-
12/13 - Stop Collaborate and Listen Event
FLweather replied to rowjimmy73's topic in Southeastern States
Temps and dewpoints like that ain't going to provide an ice storm. Things might get a little slushy. But will quickly wash away. By the time you wet bulb temps right around 30. Models "have under done" the dry air. WAA is surging north. -
I'd be willing to be a non event. Too much against this atm for a frozen event. Cold rain yes. The pieces don't match the timing.
-
Hard to tell what its going to do. Since its past 84. But nam already looks different(GFS,CMC) from 48hrs to 84hours @ 500mb. Almost like nam wants to phase those two pieces instead of the northern stream out running the southern piece. Like what gfs and cmc shows.
-
That would not be good. Temps in the mid 20s(24-26) along I85.
-
Just like gofus showing another AL/MS special on 18z. That's proof a pattern change coming... I honestly see one two punch.
-
I've been watching the models. A whole lot of placement and displacement. Too far out to tell. But clearly between now and next weekend there is going to be a pattern change. Weather a lake cutter or GOM low. Gfs has been showing the way. A pattern change At this point in time not worth getting into. But from above. It's clear. Cold and wet coming. Besides nothing at this time frame picks up to well.
-
Yeah especially what with temps based off of yesterday 12z Euro and today's 6z gfs. Low teen dewpoints with temps wet bulbing mid to upper 20s. Gonna be lights out along the transition line.
-
Sometimes you just have to laugh at old gofus. 6z southern MS/AL snowstorm. Every run is different. But at least the prospects of rain increase in about a week.
-
Robert had a short piece on FB about how the Euro/GFS/CMC keeps showing Western American Ridging showing up in the next 7-14 days. Potentially artic outbreak. With storm track from Pacific NW to South Central states to EC. Should allow the GOM to open up.
