Bostonseminole

the 18z jumper group is in a frenzy here.. every storm, every 18z run

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

The massive OTS shifts

massive lol ok.. they are not massive.. maybe for your area

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I would , but I think they are shell shocked 

shell shocked by what?

Just now, weathafella said:

6-12+

my first call for mby is 10-16". will refine later

2 minutes ago, BRSno said:

No complaints out here. Still looking like a foot deal

yeah, GFS is now the low end... Euro still looks good, 10-18 is a good call.. NAM is always on steroids

further east but what a bomb. sub 965

I still trust the euro more than others but this is not a slam dunk like last storm


.

uncle?

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

nogaps doesn't buck the trend

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cgi-bin/wxmap_single.cgi?area=nvg_namer&dtg=2018031112&prod=prp&tau=054&set=All

they still run that?

Just now, ROOSTA said:

It's gonna be a hummdinger!
Nothing like going out with a bang. How lucky being mid-Morch with snow threatening?
Here at noon it's 80F with a Td of 62F

pool weather already

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

Icon is digging deeper with the northern stream as well. Should be a similar adjustment as the NAM made.

yeah should look better.. we will see

1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said:

thats called a joke - didn't get it?

more like a prank

Just now, JC-CT said:

the proof is in the pudding

lol yeah, 

4 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

upton just released their new snow map. pretty bullish

dude you must think the board can't read

4 minutes ago, Weenie said:

Hey guys, new account here

 

Anyway I think the NAM 3km has some goodies in store. Also, what's a deform band?

that's the best run yet

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

No, it did from 42 to 45. Got tugged back after that, but man if the phase completed there...

if we can get a stall 48-51 we are buried

should be juicier for SE/E MA at least

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

And....

We are missing the lions share of the ccb and a east tick would leave you with a storm near 39N/67west. Not exactly our wheelhouse.

I'm ok with your thought process, any tick east and we are screwed..

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Will what do we want to see on modeling early In a run to see this coming more west like we want.

A further N southern stream

Higher heights along east coast.

N stream further west and jacked?/ridge amplified?

We are prolly Late in the game for East coast trough orientation to shift west

 

for max snows? I think e ma is already pegged at 6+

waiting for the NAM till 9:50 is annoying

1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

Horrible start to the 0z model suite.

it's not OTS .. still gets snow to most of the area but much less than 18Z

Just now, weathafella said:

Well I interpreted your post to be a general trend vs just GFS.   I thought with that mid level look we should have had more qpf.

all models improved during the past few cycles, this was the first time one went the other way, that's all, not saying storm cancelled, still lots of moving pieces.

15 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I’d wait for more evidence on that....lol.

I don't see what's better about the this run, less qpf, low further out.. less snow.. etc etc.. 

11 minutes ago, christhesnowman said:

Do u have any idea how to look at a model?  Green=precip

 

do u? seems not, go back to reading.