wolfie09

Well it is non accumulating snow on the european..Need some heavier precipitation rates to bring down some cold air..

A closed upper low is expected to track across the southern Plains Wednesday night. Remnant tropical moisture from Zeta is expected to advance through the southwest flow aloft ahead of the low, approaching the lower Great Lakes late Wednesday night and Thursday. This should result in increasing ascent and moist advection, and escalating rain chances, across the region. The rain could become moderate during the day Thursday, especially across southern portion of the area. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... Cooler and drier air will makes its way southward Thursday night with any rain ending and possibly ending as some wet snow late Thursday night and Friday morning. Any minor accumulations will be confined to the higher elevations east of Lake Ontario. Afterwords, cool and dry weather will be upon our region as the upstream broad area of surface high pressure over the Central Great Lakes builds across the eastern Great Lakes.

Tropical tidbits seems to be working.. Seen this posted on another board, forgot how to get to it myself lol This is from 0z..

Seems to be an issue with the gefs.. College of dupage (COD) is stuck on the oct 22 6z run lol

German jumped on board, at least for one run lol

Greatest uncertainty this forecast period will be Wednesday night through Friday morning, with the speed of the tropical system, timing of when the closed low across the Southern Rockies becomes an open wave and just how strong the surface high over the Central Great Lakes becomes all lending to the uncertainty

I would take it lol

The only one I could find was in 1997.. Obviously this is only lake effect..

Canadian is trying lol

A few lake effect events in October.. You just missed out on the event in 2015..

Gfs is pretty much a rain storm lol A few back end flakes..

European did take some baby steps at 0z.. Look at the positioning of HP from one run to the next..

NWS not buying it.. LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... Cool and dry as an expansive sfc ridge builds in across the eastern Great Lakes. Below normal temperatures anticipated during this period.

Canadian? 0z was suppressed.. It's gfs and para vs all at the moment..

Para still has it..So yeah, we'll see lol

Thanks Yeah, that's "worst case scenario" IF scientist recommend it..That's different than he "will"..It was also an interview 2 months ago.. Today he was talking about improving the economy while being safe (mask, social distancing etc..)

I'm not sure that's exactly what he said lol I have never personally heard him say he was going to lockdown the country..Mask mandate? Yes Total lockdown?No..

^^^Beat me to it lol European and Canadian want none of it..Still 6 days out but looks like the gfs/para up to the same old tricks lol

Better hp placement/timing and "maybe" we have something cooking.

Swing and a miss on the Canadian but it's there..

What a beautiful morning, huh? Nearing 70° as of 10am.. Bottom falls out tomorrow with a high of 49° and declining temperatures throughout the day..Looks like some flakes were introduced from Monday through Wednesday, albeit a small chance Monday Night Rain showers before 2am, then a chance of rain and snow showers. Low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Tuesday A chance of rain and snow showers before 10am, then a chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 44. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Tuesday Night A chance of rain and snow showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Wednesday A chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 48. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Well at least we are cutting into the drought.. Only 1.75" in September, approaching 4" in October with more to come..

Pennsylvania for example has roughly 800k more registered Democrats than Republicans, if everyone voted trump shouldn't win the state lol Imo it's more likey for a registered Republican to reverse course then vice versa..