Modfan

Merry Christmas to you all from the S FL New England group!

Looking at model runs on Lorenzo, a few recurve west towards Labrador/Canada

My rooftop view on Hutchinson Island in Port St Lucie day after Dorian passed; amazing how calm the ocean had become.

Nevermind a 1938 redux, just a strong Cat 1 woupd be real bad. On my return trips up north I marvel at the Tree Canopy over the roads and the damage a storm would cause. A strong CAT 1 would cause extensive power outages.

Rather not have all the rain here; it has been fairly dry since Dorian passed.

Blizzard of 78 2011 October Snow Storm 2004/2005 (not sure exactly which year) October flooding Tropical Storm Irene 2008 Ice Storm

Bands here in Stuart (Arundel Section) started last night and continue today with winds 15-20, gusting to 30.

sitting here on the side of the FL Turnpike in FT Pierce work in on storm prep and the trends while encouraging do not change the fact I am still in line for a possible direct hit. The next 24hrs of model runs are crucial here.

Regardless of modeling, August has been a wet month for St Lucie County South to Palm Beach; we don't need any more rain. Currently getting bands of showers and storms pin wheeling in of the ocean

The only saving grace is we have 3-4 day a for it to adjust; praying GFS is wrong

Whatcha you seeing?

As currently modeled I look to take a direct hit, and not any fun like DIT would think. Lots of stress between work and getting house shuttered. Hoping future models are further N or S of current track.

Need to know how strong that High is near Bermuda and positioning as well

Yes. Hoping it goes further north towards Melbourne/Cocoa.

Hope your right; I sit 45 miles south of Vero Beach and stress level about a 100!