Cashtown_Coop

3.7" from 0.47" liquid 31.2" ytd 7" snow depth

31.7” ytd. Saw on news this eve

I’ll stay up and monitor

Makes sense looking at the building precip shield in West Virginia

I have a new algorithm for any more winter storms this season. I am going to take the model that shows the least amount of snow and then divide that number by two for my total

I’m in Fairfield plowing and it’s freezing rain

So you’re just outside of Littlestown. Nice. I thought you were over toward Manchester more

Are we waiting for the moisture in central Tennessee?

How close are you to Hoffman?

Commenting on the season as whole I feel the same. Never got into a death band, all storms were lower end of guidance, and never jackpotted. The beat continues today

80/20 sleet / snow now.

Yes during precip changes

Back to S+ measured 2.4” at 9

20 degrees and sleet mixing in

Picking up now. You should be getting the goods. Over 2” now.

Bubbler, We need those heavy returns down by Winchester to push in. Heavy snow for sure. I measured 1.5” at 7am ob. 20 degrees with light snow currently

My friend was driving home from work and called me. Said sleet in thurmont then It switched to snow by rocky ridge exit (motter station rd)

Surface temps ( wet bulbing) but there must be a warm layer above. Already sleet in Thurmont MD. Not a great sign

Just did the same. Another bust for them. Prob means we mix earlier than we would like

I must have hacked this run

LWX 9pm update 00Z IAD sounding showed a warm nose of 1.8C at the 809 mb level. This is around 1C warmer than what most of the 18Z models initialized. The 18Z Canadian Regional had the best initialization of the 18Z guidance with a warm nose around 1C with the 00Z NAM now having caught up to the warmer air aloft. Although, there is a lot of dry air at that level which would result in wet-bulb cooling once precip arrives, the trend in the models has been for a faster changeover to mixed precip Thu morning. Will be incorporating more of the 00Z NAM and 18Z Canadian Regional in our update tonight. These two models have verified the best with temps aloft this winter, especially with the mid December 2020 and Feb 10 mixed precip events. There has also been a trend toward a faster exit of the precipitation late Thu night across the region with precip only lingering across southern MD and in the upslope areas.

Easy, choose model that shows the most snow for your yard

I think I’m looking at 3k. I’m not really sure which nam to look at or use

Nam initialized better than hrrr going off the radar. Looked like a quick hit on pivatol