Solak

I'm having a really hard time buying in to the 4"-6" still to come for this area. Even the heavier bands and showers aren't coming down at any kind of rate. We've only picked up 0.55" today since 8:00AM.

Not good!!! WITN-TV 19 mins · All NOAA weather radio sites in eastern North Carolina have been knocked out by winds or power issues. That means that no Tornado Warnings or Flash Flood alerts will get through. Your best bet is to check out our Facebook Live until that big problem is fixed.

1000 AM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018 ...EYE OF HURRICANE FLORENCE STILL WOBBLING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... NOAA Doppler weather radar data and surface observations indicate that the center of the eye of Hurricane Florence has been wobbling southwestward near the coast of southeastern North Carolina. A buoy operated by the CORMP program southeast of Wilmington, North Carolina recently reported a wind gust of 76 mph (122 km/h). A station operated by Weatherflow at Federal Point, North Carolina, recently reported a pressure of 961.0 mb (28.38 in). SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EDT...1400 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.0N 78.0W ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM SW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM E OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 245 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES

Brad Panovich‏Verified account @wxbrad 2m2 minutes ago I cannot empathize the inland flood threat enough including the #Charlotte area where 5-10" of rain is possible This starts Saturday and lasts into Monday. #Florence #cltwx #ncwx #scwx

It wilp be interesting to see what the rain shield does now that Florence has made landfall. It appears at the moment that we'll be right on the northern edge of heavier bands and the concentrated rain.

8:00 PM EDT Thu Sep 13 Location: 33.9°N 76.4°W Moving: NW at 5 mph Min pressure: 955 mb Max sustained: 100 mph

Jogged back

Lower, Slower 5:00 PM EDT Thu Sep 13 Location: 33.7°N 76.2°W Moving: WNW at 5 mph Min pressure: 955 mb Max sustained: 100 mph

crankyweatherguy‏ @crankywxguy 4m4 minutes ago Close enough.

2:00 PM EDT Thu Sep 13 Location: 33.6°N 76.0°W Moving: NW at 10 mph Min pressure: 955 mb Max sustained: 105 mph

Here's a good source for a variety of weather conditions all across the Southeast. Dropdown menu is on the left side. http://climate.ncsu.edu/map/

Recon: 953.8mb

Another ERC?

8:00 AM EDT Thu Sep 13 Location: 33.1°N 75.1°W Moving: NW at 12 mph Min pressure: 956 mb Max sustained: 110 mph

I'm just thankful we're (SE Coast) not staring down the barrel of a 155mph beast like they thought 2 days ago.

crankyweatherguy‏ @crankywxguy 42m42 minutes ago Continues to ride north of the 5pm cone. After they adjusted the 5pm cone north because...it was riding north of the 11am cone. Yeah, that's kind of a trend.

Slightly weaker again. 8:00 PM EDT Wed Sep 12 Location: 31.5°N 73.2°W Moving: NW at 16 mph Min pressure: 956 mb Max sustained: 115 mph

Meteogram 18z GFS gives Raleigh 8.41" 12z was 4.52"

Latest from NWS Raleigh NWS Raleigh‏Verified account @NWSRaleigh 28m28 minutes ago An overview of the impacts we expect from #Florence across central NC. Impacts from high winds & flash flooding are extreme across the Coastal Plain, lessening the farther NW you go across the region. However, everyone should prepare for at least some impacts to life & property.

A narrow window of opportunity remains during the next 24 hours or so for Florence to strengthen a little when the hurricane passes over the warmer SSTs and deeper warm water/higher upper-ocean heat content associated with the Gulf Stream, and low vertical shear conditions of 5-10 kt will aid in any strengthening process. However, significant strengthening is not anticipated due to Florence's large and expanding inner-core wind field.

5:00 PM EDT Wed Sep 12 Location: 30.9°N 72.5°W Moving: NW at 16 mph Min pressure: 949 mb Max sustained: 120 mph

@RaleighWx 2m2 minutes ago The 12z ECMWF brings the eye of #Florence over Cape Fear around 11am Friday.

2:00 PM EDT Wed Sep 12 Location: 30.4°N 71.8°W Moving: NW at 16 mph Min pressure: 948 mb Max sustained: 125 mph

This was in the RAH mid-morning discussion. Latest upr air data over the sern US this morning indicates a developing mid-upr level ridge there is already 10-20 meters stronger than forecast. This strengthening ridge is separated from an even stronger sub-tropical ridge situated several hundred miles n of Bermuda, by a tropopause-level trough axis stretching from about 100 miles east of HSE sswwd to an embedded circulation 200 miles east of JAX, sswd to another circulation centered about 150 miles north of the Yucatan. The presence of both that trough axis, and the developing/expanding ridge over the sern US, will ultimately serve to slow/halt the nwwd progress of powerful Hurricane Florence, particularly by Thu, when the anomalously strong ridge n of Bermuda weakens and drifts swwd.