kayman

I wouldn't be surprised if this doesn't make it as a low end Cat 3 for sure.  This is insane.  It's defying all forecast projections of its weakening upon landfall...

4 minutes ago, BrandonC_TX said:

NBC4 Washington on-air met thinks a tornado warning may be coming in for DC soon, hook over NW DC.  I did notice an outflow boundary on radar earlier west of Arlington/south of McLean along I-66, however.

That's clearly a hook echo over the Tenleytown area of NW DC.

1 minute ago, Solak said:

Brad P said 70mph winds reported there.

Yeah the rotation passed very close to me and there was roaring noise outside when it was near me. I think it was a tornado

New tornado warning for Chester County 

Several reports of the storm debris along Fairview Road near Southpark is showing up on social media.

There might have been a small tornado on the ground near Southpark indicative of the rotation signature

21 minutes ago, Chinook said:

This was perhaps the best rotational velocity near Charlotte 10:30PM EDT (02:30z)

Apparently there was a funnel cloud produced by this tight couplet.

There's still a hook echo over Indian Land with the third cell in the training supercells 

These training supercells are wearing me out. I'm about to go lookout for the third supercell and if it's on the ground.

The third storm is now with Tornado Warnings for Mecklenburg, York counties 

It was creepy and ominous right when it passed over. The skies was bright blue with lightning and the rain started going sideways immediately after the eeriest portion.

The couplet missed me by a 1/2 mile. Was eerily quiet then extremely windy and heavy rain afterwards. 

It's very windy and pouring down here now

It's lightning up a storm right now with light winds with no rain. It's likely the rainfree base overhead 

I'm in Charlotte (Steele Creek area) and I'll report back if this 2nd one is producing a tornado 

4 minutes ago, Dunkman said:

It really looks like it's producing too.

I believe that it is a possible tornado on along North Tryon in the University City portion of Charlotte 

Tornado Warnings for Mecklenburg, Cabarrus counties for leading supercell 

There are reports of damage in Greenville County in the Pleasantburg Road area from the westernmost supercell 

4 hours ago, nwohweather said:

What is this Oklahoma? Dryline barreling through the SE just miles away from the ocean with solid lapse rates is absolute trouble.  Also the lift in place will create more of a string of pearls type setup instead of a bunch of spinning QLCS.  

Other than warm front placement I don't know what there isn't to like about tornado chances on Thursday, and violent ones at that.  With such good thermodynamic properties and lift, SRH on the order of 300+ will be more than sufficient to produce some monsters

I grew up in Birmingham, and having a dryline to move from west to east across North Central Alabama is not unheard of at all.  I recall three severe weather episodes that occurred in the late 1990s and early 2000s where supercells essentially formed in a linear fashion along those dryline and caused several spin up tornadoes along their paths.  As a matter of fact, the one in the late 1990s was one of the two tornadoes I've experienced in my life was a result of these type of events.

45 minutes ago, BullCityWx said:

Yeah, my wife who is from NW Alabama, says this reminds her very much of home. She wasnt sure why the schools were in session today. 

I'm originally from Birmingham and this weather is quite common for Central Alabama 

There were 2 tornado watches that have been issued in the last 30 minutes.  Everyone from DC to GSP are now under a tornado watch.

1 hour ago, kvegas-wx said:

We really need to get some met commentary in here.  Radar is showing a much stronger front thump developing with (maybe) a look of a few discrete cells out ahead of the main line?  Somebody posted the HRRR forecasted rotation tracks earlier and this event could get out of hand really quick if that proves true.  

Way above my pay grade here.  Would love some pro comments as folks will be headed outside as soon as 3 hours from now.  (Stubborn folks that balk at moving to Friday but think they will walk their 3 year olds in a driving rain)  Grrrr....

It was me that posted that HRRR data from 11AM this morning. The wind profiles are picking up across the Upstate of SC and Western NC with these storms per the Base wind velocity and composite from both the Greer and Columbia NWS radars. I would be watching those discrete cells that are crossing Greenville, Pickens, and Anderson counties as they get closer to Spartanburg and Cherokee counties.  The instability levels are much higher over the Spartanburg area and Gaffney because of the sunshine from earlier today.  These cells could start to further intensify as they head towards the Charlotte Metro.

At what point will the pro forecasters and meteorologists admit that UK and ICON models are onto something that the NHC refuses to admit?  It's bizarre because the storm is starting to move WSW rather than W now via infrared GOES and visible satellite imagery.   This storm is looking more and more like a Florida landfall is going to occur.

6 minutes ago, Blue Ridge said:

Hampton Roads:

 

The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  The southwestern City of Norfolk in southeastern Virginia...
  The northwestern City of Chesapeake in southeastern Virginia...
  The City of Portsmouth in southeastern Virginia...
  The southeastern City of Suffolk in southeastern Virginia...
  The west central City of Virginia Beach in southeastern Virginia...

* Until 500 PM EDT.

* At 425 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located 7 miles southeast of Downtown Suffolk, moving northeast
  at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Deep Creek and Bowers Hill around 450 PM EDT.
  Chesapeake, Western Branch and Cradock around 455 PM EDT.
  Churchland, Downtown Portsmouth, Old Dominion University, Downtown
  Norfolk, Norfolk State University, Portsmouth and Ghent around 500
  PM EDT.

There's a TDS with that cell.  It's headed to the heart of the Southside of the Hampton Roads...