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BullCityWx

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Everything posted by BullCityWx

  1. The last significant snow before, say, mid month here would have been back in 2002.
  2. I've been wondering how 11/19/2000 works out as an analog to this. I need to look into it. https://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KCLT/2000/11/19/DailyHistory.html?req_city=&req_state=&req_statename=&reqdb.zip=&reqdb.magic=&reqdb.wmo=
  3. That's a concern, in my opinion, for RDU if they lose nucleation.
  4. The sounding for the RDU airport at 84 is concerning because it isnt necessarily above freezing, you dont reach -15C until you get above the 500MB layer. It's hard to grow snowflakes like that.
  5. We're safely isothermal in our sounding here but my biggest concern is the snow growth zone isnt saturated quite as deep as I'd like.
  6. I cant complain about a free resource but its almost 10:30 and we're still on 75.
  7. I think it probably snows most of the day on Friday but whatever moisture is left from Friday Night into Saturday has a good shot at sticking.
  8. Thanks! I usually use plymouth because of the immediacy but again, they only go out to 60.
  9. My usual site that I get soundings from, it wouldnt even be in range until tomorrow evening.
  10. There is definitely some sort of warm nose, I just dont know how thick it is.
  11. RDU does get to 0.7 at 850. 925's are below freezing though so I am not sure how deep that above freezing level would be.
  12. There's also some decent lift showing up over the Pee Dee of SC and Coastal Plain of NC.
  13. I had char-grill for lunch today. If this thing really turns into something, it'll have to be tradition.
  14. Euro is way drier than the GFS here, not quite as dry as the canadian.
  15. Just a gut feeling but I feel like the euro is going to go boom at 12z.
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