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BullCityWx

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Everything posted by BullCityWx

  1. BullCityWx
    There is some strong lift showing up which could indicate banding which means some places could really score and some places get rain, just because of rates.
  2. BullCityWx
    Most of those use ratios that won’t be possible this week.
  3. BullCityWx
    Dont just throw out the RAP with the ptypes. I cant tell you how many times I've seen that model sniff out a warm layer when every other model is good to go. It's showing some very strong lift along 85 from ATL-CLT. We'll see.
  4. BullCityWx
    It stopped running around hour 13.
  5. BullCityWx
    Looking at soundings, the warm layer that is on the NAM isnt on the GFS. We're fighting the surface on the GFS.
  6. BullCityWx
    It looks like, locally speaking, the rain/snow line runs roughly from Lincolnton to Mooresville.
  7. BullCityWx
    The german model, which did really well last year, has this event as mostly snow.
  8. BullCityWx
    That has been one of my favorite analogs this week. Hell, we even played the Vikings that weekend too.
  9. BullCityWx
    RGEM looks maybe a bit lighter this run. Not much difference.
  10. BullCityWx
    A few other EPS means: Davidson: 2.6" Lexington: 3" Asheboro: 3.7" Raleigh: 2.5" CLT: 2.8"
  11. BullCityWx
    The mean on the EPS doubled for me this run to get me to 2.6”
  12. BullCityWx
    If I'm remembering correctly, that was forecasted as just a mix.
  13. BullCityWx
    That is the wheelhouse for you, me, grit and wow.
  14. BullCityWx
    Can anyone vouch for the accuracy of this tool on pivotal?
  15. BullCityWx
    Imagine you live in Birmingham and you see Montgomery get the snow the models are showing while Birmingham gets nothing.
  16. BullCityWx
    Pack, it snows in MBY for 30 hours. Kinda blows my mind.
  17. BullCityWx
    Yeah, GSP has noted that several times.
  18. BullCityWx
    IF the RGEM is right about surface temps and we dont have to battle off a warm layer at the surface to start, then it's obviously off to the races with how significant this event could be.
  19. BullCityWx
    The 12z RGEM is a whopping seven degrees colder at the surface than the NAM at 48.
  20. BullCityWx
    SREF went up last run too.
  21. BullCityWx
    I don’t know I can remember a trail of snow accumulation from Brownsville to the Jersey Shore.
  22. BullCityWx
    I think this is probably where we talk about how god awful the GFS has been.
  23. BullCityWx
    Man, imagine you live somewhere like Rockport, TX. It got wiped off the map, practically, and this run almost brings snow to the Texas shore.
  24. BullCityWx
    I'd agree with that.
  25. BullCityWx
    I think it's going to be a good run through 57.
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