BullCityWx
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Everything posted by BullCityWx
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If we end up with 5-6" of snow up here, that has to change the game for a lot of people on Sunday further south. Much of it should still be on the ground, if it occurs like we think it might.
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Control run is coming in hot at 18z
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Still tremendous agreement with the GEFS.
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With the amount of lift in the GFS, I wouldn’t be shocked with thunder snow.
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18z ICON upped totals in the triangle.
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GFS and GFSENS are all hell yeah on storm #1 and hell no on storm #2. EC and ECENS are all hell no on storm one and hell yes on storm #2. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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Yeah it's definitely lights out in a large part of North Carolina if that comes to pass, 2002 bad.
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Look at that lift Image is from 12z GFS.
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I'm at 39 and it just doesnt get there. You'd think the mesoscale features you'd need to see the totals of the GFS and HRRR would be visible to the NAM unless they are both drastically wrong.
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Doesnt look like the NAM will look anything like the GFS or the HRRR
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Which event? it pretty much agrees with the OPs assessment of both.
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Snowing 10z Thursday morning on the entirety of the NC Coastline from Corolla to Calabash.
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For real. Drives the snow line well south of FAY
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Wow is right. Maybe not actual @Wow though.
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GFSENS probability maps are nuts.
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Even though it isnt the GFS, you can clearly see an uptick for the last three runs for this event.
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Yeah, it isnt awful, it just doesnt have the dynamics the GFS has.
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Next long range HRRR run is at 3PM.
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This is an event where we could be averaging close to 10:1, especially as 850s cool.
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.8 of ZR with 2" of sleet this way. Wow.
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Okay, make that the canadian has a major ice/sleet event this Sunday.
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I figured it was just the OP gone rogue but this is interesting.
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Solid ensemble agreement. What is life
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Should be noted that the RGEM has the same area of heavy precip, it's just further south where it's warmer.
