StormChaser4Life

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About StormChaser4Life

  • Birthday 10/16/1988

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KPIA
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Peoria, IL
  • Interests
    Storm chasing and all kinds of severe weather :) but tornadoes are my favorite

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  1. Yeah early to mid April definitely looks to be pretty stagnant. Hopefully we see a pattern shift mid to late April. Just always concerning when you see these patterns in peak tornado months. Getting flashbacks of last year.
  2. Man if you're wanting an active severe wx pattern for April, GFS is not the outcome you want to see. Forms a massive omega block after the first week of April and persists well into mid April. Euro didn't look as blocky. Teleconnections support a more active pattern so hopefully GFS is out to lunch.
  3. Is there a rating yet on the Greensboro tornado that went through Brent and Centreville?
  4. Yeah I think there was one death with that tornado. That outbreak definitely overperformed with several intense tornadoes esp at dusk or after dark. I was thinking the same thing. I saw a few pictures where houses were leveled and partially swept off foundation. Those were nicer homes to so guessing it would be properly anchored.
  5. Looks like preliminary high end EF3 for Newnan
  6. I definitely think the weaker low was a big factor for MS. It strengthened very slow and not nearly as deep as it progged days ago. This led to weaker winds at sfc and not really backed with limited pressure falls. The early wave of storms to really messed with the wind field in MS. Subsidence behind it likely lead to the clearing and deeper mixing. This contributed to the veered sfc flow in addition to weaker sfc low. Just like last week, wind field was better across AL with S to SE winds. I think even if the EML wasn't as strong, MS storms may still have struggled to produce significant tornadoes with less directional shear in the low levels.
  7. Was wondering the same thing. I don't get it
  8. So definitely could be higher then. I'm no damage expert obviously. Just going off what I seen in the past. Miracle there hasn't been mass fatalities reported given the timing and how severe the damage is. Advanced warning time saved many lives.
  9. That definitely looks like solid EF3 damage in spots. Maybe even mid to high range EF3 in spots.
  10. TWC just confirmed 1 fatality in Newnan. Hopefully there won't be anymore.
  11. Yeah I'm getting busty vibes further west. This is evolving more like 0z hrrr showed. The deepening low was key today and it hasn't really done that much. Hard to say if something major will evolve later or if this will be it....
  12. Yeah this is definitely holding back the threat in MS so far. Sfc winds veered. I think a cap has built in to. Jet streak still seems to be hanging back west so curious in a few hours if that will deepen the low, improve sfc flow, and help to break the cap west. This has been a very sloppy evolution so far.
  13. Definitely thought the same thing. SPC and NWS not too optimistic about the threat but I think at some point there will be a slight risk. 3km nam looks nice. Arc of storms by 18z that moves into central IL through 0z.
  14. Anyone have an eye on the cold core severe potential on Tues? Some impressive cold temps aloft right over central IL. Instability doesn't look great but that could improve as we get closer. Even if it doesn't, I could see some tornado potential being possible with low topped supercells.