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cyclone77

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Everything posted by cyclone77

  1. cyclone77
    I would imagine they'll bump up to marginal on later outlooks. It definitely deserves it with pockets of surface cape AOA 500J/kg present ahead of the front in a high shear environment. Mid-level lapse rates look kinda crappy, barely 7 C/km so it'll be hard getting cape much above that. Models have been pretty insistent on temps/dews having a hard time cracking 60/mid 50s. All in all a low-end threat but looks to be enough for a few tors, and worthy of at least a 2% tor risk.
  2. cyclone77
    Overachieved a bit today and made it to 66. Looking forward to the potential for some low-topped convection late Tuesday. This morning's Euro dropped the surface low down to 977mb for the late week system.
  3. cyclone77
    14hrs after the 2nd moderna shot at 1:30 this morning I woke up with teeth chattering chills. Had 102 fever. Fever seems gone this am but feel pretty weak/blah. The first shot only resulted in a sore shoulder on day 2/3.
  4. cyclone77
    Got the 2nd dose of the moderna about 3hrs ago. Def felt that shot which surprised me cause I didn't feel the 1st one lol. So far no symptoms but it's early.
  5. cyclone77
    First few shoots coming up now finally.
  6. cyclone77
    Finished with 0.50" for the day. Still some drizzle.
  7. cyclone77
    6th day now that the DVN radar is down for maintenance. Wish they would have finished ahead of schedule like they have in the past, but not in the cards this time unfortunately. At least severe isn't threatening while it's down. HRRR shows over an inch of rain for the QC, Euro and other models around 0.5-0.7". Nothing major but a nice little soaker. EDIT: Radar is back in service.
  8. cyclone77
    Haven't looked since yesterday but the Euro was showing 45-50mph gust potential Thu morning. Would look pretty legit if it were to flip over to heavy snow.
  9. cyclone77
    Looks likes 1/2-3/4" of cold rain tomorrow night and Thursday.
  10. cyclone77
    April will be rockin
  11. cyclone77
    Planted daffodils bulbs last October. So far nothing has poked out of the ground. Wonder if they crapped out lol.
  12. cyclone77
    The stuff here is like cement. There's been no melting so far which is impressive for mid March. MLI picked up 0.98" of precip today.
  13. cyclone77
    Down to very light snow. Finished with 2.5" of snow and sleet, minor ice glazing, and probably near an inch of precip in total.
  14. cyclone77
    Rochelle down to 1/8 mile now.
  15. cyclone77
  16. cyclone77
    Yeah that's a heck of a lightning barrage out there by Dekalb. Showing 8 strikes in 2 minutes.
  17. cyclone77
    Heavy snow here. Sky has become much brighter in the past 15 minutes so with the heavy snow falling it's super bright out there. Over 2" now.
  18. cyclone77
    That sucks. Last evening's 00z HRRR run was lol worthy, showing 10"+ in the Cedar Rapids area. I'd be curious to know how much qpf fell here, we've had steady moderate to heavy precip since 7:30. Guessing it's gotta be pushing an inch.
  19. cyclone77
    Shifted over to heavy snow for about 20 minutes, but back to mostly sleet again. Snow rates were well over an inch an hour, as we picked up another half inch in that 20 minutes. If this thing could have stayed all snow we easily would have surpassed 6". Around 1.5" snow/sleet so far.
  20. cyclone77
    80/20 sleet/frz rain. Has turned into sort of an ice storm. Haven't seen snow in over an hour. As per usual WAA aloft can't be denied.
  21. cyclone77
    Pounding sleet. Snow completely ceased. Close to an inch of snow/sleet so far.
  22. cyclone77
    The transition here was sort of bizarre. Dry (normal) flakes started mixing in with the rain/sleet. Usually you get the white rain/partially or mostly melted flakes pouring down first. Dry flakes just started fluttering down in the midst of the rain and sleet. Don't think I've ever seen that before. Snow is getting pretty close to heavy with the ground quickly whitening. EDIT 9:32- Heavy sleet has mixed back in and knocked the snow intensity back quite a bit.
  23. cyclone77
    Mostly snow now here
  24. cyclone77
    Rain mixed with sleet and a few rogue flakes. 0.16" rain so far. Using ILX radar since DVN has been unplugged.
  25. cyclone77
    This one and the next event around the 18th are throw-away events. Minor stat padding at best for snowfall. No convective potential which sucks for mid March. Basically it's looking like the whole stretch from late Feb to late March is a month worth of down time for anything of interest of any kind. Hopefully something of interest shows up sometime in April.
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