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Isotherm

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Everything posted by Isotherm

  1. Turned out much better than it seemed it would a couple weeks ago. Maples are mostly past peak here now, but still holding great color, and oaks are now peak. I think we'll see major leaf drop with the CAA event at the end of this week.
  2. Still going to end up a bit high on NYC/LGA/TTN, pretty close on PHL/EWR. Happy with the call overall.
  3. Cooling degree days have been the lowest probably since 2009 for our area. I only have 766 CDD's for year thus far, quite low comparatively after the past couple summers.
  4. Agreed on all counts. Those numbers will almost certainly be too high. And yeah, definitely feeling much more fall like in terms of sun intensity now. Really noticing the lengthening nights.
  5. 16 here now. We're pretty much done given the upcoming pattern. Might be able to make the average of 18 for around here.
  6. I like where I stand with my pre-season predictions; might even end up a tad aggressive for some areas: PHL: 28 EWR: 25 NYC: 16 LGA: 19 TTN: 21
  7. 3, 5, and 7 here for May, June, and July respectively. Total 15. So far nothing in August, and it looks like nothing for awhile.
  8. 94F and day 14 for the season here.
  9. I'm tied with Newark (doubt that will last) at 12 90 degree days here.
  10. Up to 22 days here, above the normal of 17-18 I think. I had 38 in 2010. We should manage some more days in Sept.
  11. Stuck at 12 here, but I've had at least 6 days of near misses at 88-89F over the past few months. If the next two months are very warm/warm as I expect, my backyard should be able to surpass 20 days.
  12. Interior areas and urban locations already near normal for annual 90s. 20 at New Brunswick is impressive. Coastal sites like NYC still need another 7 or so. But we're really only half-way through the summer as far as the heat goes.
  13. Still stuck at 1 here (91.5 on May 28th), with 1 89F and a couple 88s as well. So far my high for June of 88 is less than May, and only 8 degrees warmer than March! Talk about a pattern reversal.
  14. 17 90F days here. Tomorrow would make a heat wave and 18. Now at the seasonal normal for this area re 90s.
  15. Up to 13 here. Surpassed last summer's 11, and should attain 2013's 16 I think.
  16. Same here. 8 90F+ days (highest 93.8F), and 4 89F days. About as normal a summer as you can get so far. -0.1 temp departure June, and +0.2 for July through today.
  17. Here's my guesses for the summer: First 90F NYC: 5/27 EWR: 5/26 Seasonal Totals: NYC: 13 EWR: 19 LGA: 14 NBW: 19 TTN: 16 PHL: 22 IMBY: 13 Going for another low impact 90F year. Last year I had 11 days IMBY. My guess is I'll end up fairly similar or slightly more, but still below the average which is 16-18 or so.
  18. 89.5, so 90F here today for my 8th day of the year. Same as TTN's numbers.
  19. PHL really starting to pull away from the pack on these borderline days. As for TEB, it shouldn't even be looked at. PHL's in the lead right now.
  20. I knew EWR would have no problem catching up to me. I was ahead of them by 1 prior to today, but today's 88F high kept me at 7 days of 90F+. Just missed heat wave as did most. I had a heat wave last week though.
  21. 92F here for my 6th day of the season.
  22. Wow, 1962 was frigid. Cold winter, cold summer. If NYC had 8, I probably would have had 0 nights above 70 here.
  23. It was the only year that really matched up in terms of other global indicators like the PDO and EPO. 1957, 1986, 1994, and 2004 all had fairly robust +PDO signals in conjunction with a negative -EPO pattern that I expect will continue for the summer. Other cold phase oncoming Nino's such as 1965 and 1972 for example, had solidly negative PDO's. Much different SSTA profile in the Pacific as well among other atmospheric factors.
  24. Tony, this will be my call for 90F days: Going with an average of the 1986/1957/2004/1994 90F day analogs. NYC: 13 LGA: 15 EWR: 19 JFK: 8 Slightly below average season 90F wise. Think we'll see a lot of elevated night time lows again with countless days in the 85-90 degree range.
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