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LongBeachSurfFreak

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About LongBeachSurfFreak

  • Birthday 04/13/1982

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KFRG
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Lynbrook Ny, and the uws
  • Interests
    Surfing. Fishing. Snow boarding. Horticulture

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  1. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Imelda is going to be a mean bitch. Carribean cruiser, cat 5.
  2. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah it’s fuels both hurricanes and the temperature differences that power nor’easters. Without the Gulf Stream the weather in the northeast would be much more mundane.
  3. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Up here on Long Island Erin took the water temps from the high 70s to the high 60s temps recovered to the low 70s which is about normal for this time of year. Hurricanes in the north east derive their energy from the Gulf Stream and will weaken once above the north wall. It’s a function of the long shallow continental shelf.
  4. LongBeachSurfFreak
    There’s no way 190 ace is happening with a lull right during peak season. A strong backend is still likely based on increased vertical instability but it’s going to be hard to make up for lost time. Erin also cooled a large portion of the typical recurve track which will limit future storm intensity in that region.
  5. LongBeachSurfFreak
    They have their own proprietary model called Lotus. 30-35’ is impossible on the east coast anywhere less then a mile offshore. The bottom is just too gradual and shallow. Basically anything bigger then 15’ just breaks further and further out.
  6. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Exactly, those high tides will be the issue. Further north it’s tomorrow evenings high tide. I’m in Montauk right now and the beach is washed out right to the dunes. And we haven’t even seen anything close to what’s coming tomorrow up here.
  7. LongBeachSurfFreak
    That’s due to the current swell direction being south. As the Erin gets to the obx latitude the largest fetch (allot of it pressure gradient driven) will be pointed east to west. And right at them. Thats when the damage will occur.
  8. LongBeachSurfFreak
    As beaches are being rearranged on the outter banks and in the north east. I’m in Montauk by right now and there are already major over washes and beach erosion
  9. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Can I wish myself to reality? If so let’s go. But I want the pressure 930s. That’s an Irene NY pressure and that was nothing burger.
  10. LongBeachSurfFreak
    We were starting to get some minor over wash at jones beach Ny. Expecting a boardwalk basher on Thursday. The pressure gradient and resulting strong NE winds will pile water up on the south shore of LI and lead to major inundation. Huge swells on top of above normal tides. This may be the most impactful coastal event in years.
  11. LongBeachSurfFreak
    30c water temps working their magic. We see it in the gulf and west pac. Here we go with the Atlantic version.
  12. LongBeachSurfFreak
    That’s going to be upper echelon in terms of size of maximum winds. Anyone know if there are records for eye sizes of majors? I know Wilma in Florida had a huge one and Ike as well.
  13. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Excellent post. Erin is really struggling to reorganize after the EWRC. Personally I think it may be down sloping same dry air off the mountains of Hispaniola. The sw quadrant seems to be the issue currently.
  14. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Definitely has climatology in its favor.
  15. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah, went from foggy and zero wind at 6am to blasting north wind (gusts 60+) by noon under deep blue skies. One of the more incredible weather days we have seen in our life times. I remember walking up the beach into sand blasting gusts and having to hold on to my board for dear life.
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