dta1984

12z wrfs still bonkers.  This one is looking good!

14 minutes ago, NEOH said:

Looks like this has the potential to be our largest synoptic storm of the year. I guess we'll know tomorrow. The warm, wet ground with marginal temps may hurt accums somewhat.

I noticed that CLE mentioned cracks and openings in the ice allowing for lake enhancement the other day in the AFD. I flew into CLE yesterday afternoon and had a nice view of the lake. Outside of a few icy patches in the western basin there was no ice at all east of there -- 100% open water. I wonder if they even check the visible satellite?!

Definitely doesn't happen too often when things look better the closer you get to the event.  The nam 3k was bonkers.  Others are definitely trending favorably. 

I'm guessing the nam snow maps on tropical tidbits have ice and sleet in them.  Don't think we're seeing 4-8" of snow. 

64" so far here.  Winter is quickly winding down it seems. While we routinely get snow in march and April,  it's hard to imagine we finish much above the past few years (80" ish..).

2 hours ago, NEOH said:

Will wait until the 12z models roll in before waving the white flag. Northern Ohio will definitely be riding a fine line. Definitely a mid-Winter feel outside with snow still flying this morning.

GFS and rgem aren't terrible,  Cmc is very close and the nam is flat out terrible.   So close.....  

Measured 3.5" on the deck.  Definitely a solid quick hitting event.  Looking forward to the next few days. 

Saw the uk map in the other thread and it's definitely a huge hit for us for the weekend.  Euro doesn't look bad either..

Didn't measure this morning,  but probably 2-3".  Good rates and flake size currently.  

1 hour ago, NEOH said:

It will be interesting to watch the evolution of tomorrow's storm. 12z NAM has a good low position for Ohio... but not much precip in the NW side. Seems like Northern Ohio is sandwiched between a precip shield to the NW and SE for a few hours before filling in. Hoping for a more expansive precip shield as I'm not sure what would cause the gap over this area.

Some of the splits in precip being shown are brutal. We definitely have the benefit of being further east, which looks ok so far.  Need the two areas to come closer to phasing as ohweather said. 

2.5" here overnight. The system for tonight looks like its trending in our favor somewhat. 

4 hours ago, NEOH said:

2.8" last night. Wasn't expecting quite that much.

Ya definitely nice to see this morning.   Looks like we should repeat that a few more times this week.  

1/2" of slop this morning.   Might have been more, but it's compacted and melting.  Looks like a few snow chances the next few days.  Hopefully we can catch an overachiever.  

2 minutes ago, NEOH said:

Picked up 2.4" last night.

Didn't get a chance to measure,  but seems right.  Cle mentions lake effect picking back up later.  Looks like the remnants of the band are around se Cuyahoga now. 

6 minutes ago, NEOH said:

The GFS weenie runs continue... with multiple storm chances for the OV region. The Euro looked good as well. We have the brief (and light) LES event tonight/tomorrow, clipper Sunday, and the mid-week storm on the table. Great to have an active pattern for a change.

Ya, I'm liking that it will be more active.   Definitely has the potential to be a very snowy 7 days or so.  

It would be nice to get a 6"+ non lake effect storm. 

I re measured yesterday and came up with 7.5".  It's definitely settled quite a bit today.  

Nam 3k had a narrow band with what looks like a connection from Lake Michigan through se Cuyahoga.  

Nice, maybe my 8" measurement wasn't too far off.  I'll still double check.  Totally agree, these are the best events.  Especially since the radar didn't look that great yesterday evening.  

7 minutes ago, NEOH said:

I measured 6.2" at 6:30am. There is some drifting so may not be exactly accurate. What a nice surprise... lake enhancement definitely helped. We spend days tracking events that rarely deliver... this was one of the better short terms storms we've had.

Ya there was definitely some drifting in my measurement it looks like. I'll get a few more when I get home. These last minute events are great!

I've got 8" in several spots on the deck. Definitely surprised!   I'll measure again later to make sure I didn't get any drifting. 

5 minutes ago, NEOH said:

Snow is just starting to come down in Chagrin. Nice flake size. Temps are just above freezing though. We'll see what tonight brings.

This one kind of snuck up.  Should be good for several inches.  The short range models look to bring .5" or so of qpf just to our north. 

2.25" of fuff, still lightly snowing.   Good to see snow again.

The 50s sure felt nice.  Definitely nice to get a break from the prolonged cold we had.   Hopefully the lake ice took a big hit and is primed for the second half of winter (at least initially ). 

Picked up 2" from the clipper on Monday and the on and off snow showers the past few days. Looks like a warmup and some rain over the weekend.   It'll be nice to wash the salt off the roads. 

271 webcams look fun!   Hopefully the band doesn't move too fast .

Quite a bit of blowing and drifting out there.  Came up with 2.75" snow and sleet.  Definitely some higher spots drifted.  

6 minutes ago, Benadrill said:

Vid from the lake effect band. It was very beautiful <3

 

Wow awesome!   That Huron band does look potent.