dta1984

The rain and majority of the clouds cleared out pretty quickly this morning.   With just scattered clouds this afternoon , we should have pretty good eclipse viewing!

Just noticed Pivotal has a dedicated section for the Eclipse.  You can toggle states, models and view precipitation or cloud cover %. It's still early , but fun to look at.  https://www.pivotalweather.com/eclipse2024/?m=epsens&p=cloudcover_tle_4-mean&r=us_state_oh

I took several measurements between 8.5" - 9" off of my deck.   Now, back to the 60s this week 

WSW for Sunday, maybe 6"+?   Quite the rollercoaster, going from flooding rains Saturday to Heavy snow on Sunday, then back to 60s next week.  

1 hour ago, OHweather said:

Had about 0.8” from the synoptic snow and another 2.2” from LES overnight through 7:15 when I measured. A burst just dropped 1.5” in about half an hour at the office. 

Definitely a nice surprise.  Just under 6" here so far.   

9 hours ago, OHweather said:

While my optimism for the extended range has completely faded, it's worth noting that Saturday has the potential to be interesting for lake effect snow from in and around the Cleveland metro points northeast. 

Looks like a 290 flow which generally does pretty well out here.  

On 2/8/2024 at 8:10 AM, NEOH said:

I like your optimism... hopefully it falls over the next couple of weeks then we can move on to a mild Spring. 

Couldn't agree more.  After whatever snow chance we have Fri-the weekend, I'm ready for spring unless it's a blockbuster storm in March.  Done with these 1-2" marginal events.  

1 hour ago, NEOH said:

2/13 storm offering a glimmer of hope for synoptic snowfall across Ohio. Big jump NW on the GFS and CMS 12z model runs. Still a long way out but at least something to track. 

True, at least it's something.  What a clunker it's been... again.  I'll enjoy the 50s for the next few days, it's been nice getting a taste of spring.  

I measured 2.75" additional since last measurement 12 hrs ago.  Storm total here is 9.25". The lake effect definitely made up for Thursday's miss!

Measured 6.5", and that would be my total so far.  On and off bursts of snow this morning, looks like some nw flow le trying to form.  

6 hours ago, Floydbuster said:

 

That's what I'm saying as well. Everyone is acting as if the entire area is in for a wild ride, and I actually don't think it'll be that bad. Last Friday, before the switchover to rain and gusty winds, we had a good 2 inches fall in about an hour and a half. Compare that to perhaps 4 inches in 2-3 days time? That's nothing to me. I certainly think they could have higher accumulations near the lakeshore, but further south, probably not nearly as much.

Also, everyone has been very confused because we have local weather apps on phones showing no more than 30% chance of precipitation here and there the next two days, yet we have a Winter Storm Warning issued warning people to prepare for "5 to 10 inches" of snow. Lots of conflicting forecasts.

 

Look here...Cleveland weather Friday and Saturday....

 

Friday shows no more than a 50% chance of precipitation around 8am this morning for Cleveland, tapering off.

 

Then on Saturday, it tapers off further to 0%.

 

How the hell does Cleveland get 5-10 inches of snow Friday and Saturday from near zero precipitation chances? Anyone wanna help me out on this one?

Sounds like you need a new weather app.  I have wunderground, it's ok, but I recommend also using the NWS CLE website (and their social media) as that's just focused on our area.  

1 hour ago, NEOH said:

 Nice to wake up and see this in the forecast, and great to have OHWeather forecasting this event for CLE. 

 

 

Agreed!  We are due for a good one, hopefully this is it.   Always enjoy ready the OHweather nws discussions 

20 hours ago, OHweather said:

In spite of the ice, I’m probably more optimistic about the next 4 days regarding snow locally than I’ve been about any 4 day stretch so far this winter. Which isn’t saying too much 

Good to hear this!  Looks like there should be several opportunities for system and lake enhanced/effect snow Thurs -Sat.

I came up with right at 7" of snow.   Very scenic outside just in time for Christmas.  Should stick around until the end of the week at least.  

31 minutes ago, OHweather said:

We're approaching our brief allotment of winter for this two week period Monday into Tuesday. Looks like a half decent NW flow lake enhanced snow setup, peaking Monday evening through early Tuesday AM. Models disagree regarding how quickly the deeper synoptic support and moisture pull away, but the Euro and RGEM hang onto it until early Tuesday which would probably be enough to drop a good 3-6" on the higher terrain southeast of the lake, with potential for locally 6-10" wherever a Huron connection gets involved...probably in the vicinity of Ashtabula County and western Erie/Crawford PA in this sort of flow? Amounts will probably be quite a bit less near the lake with a strong flow across the short axis of the lake and warmer temperatures/lower ratios close to the lake than farther inland. 

Trends are looking good for Mon-Tues.  Would be nice if what falls could stick around until Christmas...

1 hour ago, OHweather said:

Looks like a very potent event for the primary belt later tomorrow and Tuesday, with a very heavy band likely impacting the metro area during the Tuesday AM rush. 

Ya looking like Tues is the better day away from the lake.   Hoping for the band to slow down as it gets our way.

3.5" here this morning on the deck.   First snow of the season in the books 

On 10/24/2023 at 1:14 PM, NEOH said:

First freeze in the books this week... hit 30.8 Monday morning. And first fantasy snowfall map of the season -- 

 

 wouldn't that be a way to start the snow season lol.

Looking like first flakes possible Tues-Weds at least. 

18 hours ago, NEOH said:

Fall foliage is at or just past peak in this area. Seems a week or so later than last year. Rain the next few days should bring a lot of leaf fall as they are turning and falling quickly. 

Ya seems like some trees turned earlier this year, but others were delayed a bit.  I'm guessing due to the warmer temps earlier in the month.  Should hopefully have all leaves dropped before the first snow.  

Pretty incredible, 10 tornados (so far) confirmed across NE Ohio last Thurs-Fri.  

https://www.weather.gov/cle/event_20230824_severe

After a dry start to summer, it's certainly turned into a wet one.  A lot of flooding and a few roof collapses from last night's rain, especially west side.  Looks like another round later this evening.  The yard is nice and green and having issues drying out as of late.  

I've also got a few trees getting some fall color already.  

54 minutes ago, NEOH said:

Low of 44 last night, and smoky skies again this morning. Definitely chilly for June. Its probably due to the lack of rain but there are no flies or mosquito's yet which is strange. 

Definitely a dry start to the summer.  We could definitely use the rain.... looks like maybe early next week.  

Smoky skies are ominous, even an air quality alert   Seems like since last weekend they have been like that. Don't remember a stretch like this before.  

16 hours ago, WestMichigan said:

Congratulations!

6 hours ago, NEOH said:

Congrats! Hopefully the weather is good. 

Appreciate it!

4 hours ago, WestMichigan said:

Are you getting married or just attending?

I am!  Hopeful that the weather works out, but we have a backup plan just in case.  

19 hours ago, OHweather said:

After the 70s and 80s earlier this month the showery weather with snow flakes mixing in over the last couple of days has been unwelcome. But, nothing has stuck and I think I’m ready to call it a “winter” in Reminderville. My final tally is 33.7”, which is 40-45% of average. The driveway was plowed twice. Definitely feels even more underwhelming than my previous personal “low water mark” in NE Ohio of 2011-12. 

Agreed, let's close out winter.  49.5" is my total, and low since I've been keeping track.  

What's your take on the long range?  Are we close to getting back to some spring temps?  I've got an outdoor wedding end of next month....