PrinceFrederickWx

...and amidst all the chaos- WWA up for southern MD for this evening- the Calvert and St. Mary's one has us down for 1-2" although my point and click says only a half inch. This would have been a big deal a week ago LOL

cobb data for NHK from 6z GFS. I'm not an expert on how to use these properly but looks like a front end thump of 8" before flip to sleet and rain, finishing as snow again. The front end snow is assuming ratios of 13:1 it looks like, which I think is too high (I always assume the standard 10:1). Someone can correct me if I'm looking at this wrong. http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/cobb/cobb.php?model=gfsm&site=nhk

6z GFS brought the southern MD bullseye back it looks like- 36"+ over Charles County

I just can't imagine anyone in this region anywhere getting 40". Just nuts.

The crazy 40" bubble got moved from Prince Frederick to NoVa... is this for real? I feel like the GFS has been hacked by some weenie on this forum lol

Wish I had known about that- I took the basic spotter one in Charlotte Hall last October and have been meaning to take the winter one. Oh well, I couldn't have gotten off work early tomorrow to make it anyway. If you see any trained spotter reports from Prince Frederick they might be mine!

Btw welcome back! Hope you stick around to post during the storm!

Oh I know, it just an image for me to weenie out on

I got that image saved to my computer. That is literally the best run of any model in my life!

HOLY SHI**!!! Am I dreaming!?!?!?

They all said that with Joaquin too... If 18z GFS trends south... lol

QFT

Someone had the EuroWx map up on Accuweather forums. Looking awesome for Southern MD- we get more than the DC/Balt metro now! Looks like central VA jackpot.

Anyone have Euro access? How's it look for us? They're all flipping out about it going south in the main thread which is usually a good sign for us.

QFT, with one minor adjustment lol I don't think there's a way to add in a poll option though.

12z GFS is looking better for us IMHO

Yup. Keep that line going straight and it takes you right through Prince Frederick and just south of Charlotte Hall.

In all the models snowfall maps (from what I've seen), you have the snow amounts start to drop off in central/southern Calvert and St. Mary's. It mostly looks like they have us around the 10" mark or so? My concern is still we wind up with something like Feb. 2014 where after the front end snow, we struggle with mixing while BWI/DCA and all points north/west get clobbered. That storm underperformed in my area. DC/Baltimore can sit comfortably but I feel like my area is flirting too much with that rain/snow line. I've set the bar IMBY at just getting at least 5-6 inches, then I'll be happy. Salisbury may wind up with more snow last Saturday than this weekend.

In all seriousness, I wish there was more talk about NHK and SBY in addition to DCA/IAD/BWI/RIC/CHO

None. I expect it to rain all the way through. j/k

I think we might be doing a lot of complaining in here next weekend...

Sticking to everything now except roads. Down to 36. Heaviest of the day so far.

Moderate snow here, best its been all day. Temp down to 38. Still not sticking yet.

Nice! It looks like the southern tip of St. Mary's is getting it good. Radar looks like it might fill in enough to get up here? I had some light/moderate snow this morning but it stopped. No accumulations though. We're back! Need some GIF's up in here lol

I haven't looked at it much cause its still too far out for me to be fully invested in yet, but if we get a repeat of the 2/21/15 disaster I'm gonna lose it! How's the snow event today going for you? Sounds like Salisbury is doing well at least. Edit: Took a peek at 6z GFS. Ouch.