Allsnow

10 minutes ago, Euripides said:

Same and would be happy if even 1/2 those amounts verified.

My guess is it’s misplacing the heaviest rain that’s currently in snj 

2 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

IT's the HRRR but it's wet for most here

If that happens I won’t post at all this winter 

I will be lucky to get a inch here…fell into the skunk zone 

.46 of yawn 

5 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

The heavy stuff over jersey has to make it over here 

Doubtful. Going to be a screw zone for nyc and LI 

.15 is pretty underwhelming so far 

Just now, Rjay said:

Hrrr has cut back every run for the island

Heavier echos continue to have a hard time pushing in. You can now see the stuff in snj getting heavier while the skunk zone is over the metro 

2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Yet it looks nothing like the 3k lol

While the nam does crush our area, it moved the second low further south when compared to 18z

10 minutes ago, TWCCraig said:

Yikes

Worst case scenario if this correct. With second low missing to the south. Kinda skunks the areas that need the rain the most 

4 minutes ago, Rmine1 said:

Agreed. All of the energy is in SNE, everything filling in nicely for them right now. Nothing is moving in our direction, ie LI. Suspect that Upton will hang on to watch until later 

Gfs now showing that skunk zone over LI 

2 minutes ago, Rmine1 said:

Probably? More like likely 

1 minute ago, T5403CG said:

Praying we get an inch on the south shore... but I'm starting to doubt such...

Unreal...

Let's see what the 6z say... holding out hope...

Sent from my moto g power (2021) using Tapatalk
 

LI will be lucky to get a inch, just not the set up for you guys 

1 minute ago, psv88 said:

3 to 2 inches. Putting the sprinklers on

Your area will probably miss to the north then south 

Icon looks like the nam with the second wave doing most of the work 

17 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

the 12z nam is coming north with the second wave of rain on tuesday which helps us

Gfs!!!

On board early here…heavy rain 

Drought buster coming 

All the models have a deluge for the area…

Euro is a area wide 1-3. 

This keeps shifting south with 3 days to go ugh 

06z euro 1-2 area wide 

We need rain 

45 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Dry I assume?

As bluewave posted above, yes. It would keep any moisture away but make for a early fall like weekend