SchaumburgStormer

1 minute ago, hlcater said:

I should clarify, I was talking about reed saying that is the same tornado 13 miles N of town. I definitely think they got walloped. Wasn't saying they didnt.

Oh yeah, it definitely cycled. Sounds like it set back down fairly quickly however 

3 minutes ago, hlcater said:

I doubt it lasted through Taylorville. Looked like a pretty clear cycle.

They got hit. Did it steamroll the town? Not sure, but it definitely got hit. Unless these 911 calls are all false reports... 

Blue Mound, Pd and EMS en route to a call for an injured person trapped in the basement under the stairs which “moved” 

Reports of catastrophic damage and entrapment in taylorville 

1 minute ago, Stebo said:

Heading for Harristown along 72

May shoot the gal just west of Harristown. Not much but a few farmhouses if it can avoid harristown. Next areas to watch would be warrensburg or maroa, both towns amid approx 1000

Harristown is directly in the path. Will be a close miss for decatur proper, but outside of harristown, there is not a lot of build up west of 51/I-72 

3 minutes ago, Stebo said:

New circulation already getting going to the east a bit.

Stonington and Blue Mound up next. Not huge towns but a few thousand each. 

Just now, hlcater said:

Occluded right over town. 

It’s going to cycle at a real bad time with decatur in the line of fire

Taylorville is in big, big trouble. 

1 minute ago, Stebo said:

That taylorville storm is going to go right into town and the next thing on the line is Decatur. Not a good direction to track right up 57.

My folks are in Decatur and I just have them a heads up. Big Christmas parade in downtown decatur scheduled to start at 1730. 

PDS warning language on that Taylorville cell 

Christian county storm looking better, has Decatur in its sights 

1 minute ago, Stebo said:

Really grabbing a gear.

Yeah, going nuclear 

These things are rocking. 

The lewistown storm is getting some separation and tightening up again. 

3 minutes ago, Stebo said:

Yeah that cell is close just needs the hook to rotate forward a bit and it will go.

And she’s off. Got the warning too

2 minutes ago, hlcater said:

Both cells have CC drops. I'll note the one to the north was stronger than in my image, it had since weakened. 

Yeah. That southern cell has a big one on the ground. 

Cell south of lewistown needs a warning. 

1 minute ago, hlcater said:

I'm by far most interested in the southernmost cell by Litchfield. Unimpeded inflow and the VWP is no worse down there. 

Two separate areas of rotation on that one too

That lewistown storm is a beast. The one just to its south is getting its act together too. 

https://mobile.twitter.com/skydrama/status/1068979757117829122?s=21

Cell near beardstown is cranking 

2 hours ago, beavis1729 said:

I didn't say the pattern wasn't active. I just said that active isn't always a good thing, especially when active means rain.

Either way, I don't expect anyone to empathize or agree with me. I was just venting and was clear about that in my post.  Not a big deal.   

My mistake, I misread your statement and thought the implication was that the pattern wasn't active. 

1 hour ago, beavis1729 said:

Not sure what everyone is so excited about...but the next 2 weeks look like crap.  Rain and warm this weekend, then chilly but not a lot of precip, then a potential warm-up around Day 10-12.  Not saying all of this is gospel...but it looks pretty bad based on current modeling and teleconnections.

People's expectations are so low for Winter, it drives me crazy.  It is not good to have a rain event this weekend.  Doesn't matter if the pattern is "active"; rain is not acceptable this time of year.  All of the beauty of last weekend's snowfall will be wiped away.

And I understand my climo...that is not the issue.  As I have said repeatedly, a climo winter here would receive a grade of D- at best.  As an example: if ORD received zero flakes of snow this December, it would still be around normal snowfall for the season-to-date.  It doesn't mean we should be happy about the early snowfall this season; it just means our climo is horrible.

It's laughable that our normal high is around 40 at the beginning of December.  That is not winter.

And on and on and on. Blah blah blah.

Someone should create a "winter index", based on the following metric:  Average # of days per year with a high temp of 32F or lower AND at least 2" of snow cover.  In my mind, that constitutes a wintry day.  At ORD, the "Winter index" is probably about 25 (?).  And that could be optimistic.  Either way, it means that fewer than 1/3 of the days in Winter (DJF) are actually wintry.  That says it all...

I don't intend to argue or bicker with anyone on this...it's a complaint thread, and I'm venting.  

27 minutes ago, Baum said:

^
Your simply living in the wrong climate for the type of weather your looking for. Try Marquette, Michigan.

Sent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk
 

Or Northern Siberia. 

This pattern is active. To say otherwise is disingenuous at best. Simply because it isn't below normal cold and active, or your back yard isn't getting your ideal weather for LATE FALL, does not mean the pattern is not active. 

Had light snow all morning, accumulation of a dusting but has made roadways quite slick again. Huge fluffy flakes. 

23 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

Snow compacted down to about 10" since late last night.  Lots of leaves blowing around on top of the cover, as some trees had still been holding on to some stragglers.  That was some of the worst snow shoveling I've ever had to do.  The whole layer is dense/wet, but there's a layer about an inch thick on the bottom that is exceptionally dense/wet. 

Point has 6 degrees tonight, and 7 tomorrow night.  Tomorrow night has the potential to get down close to zero if the clouds cooperate.  High pressure ridge will be nearly overhead by late tomorrow night.

When the snowblower has issues, it’s not good. 

Some roads are real bad as that bottom layer either wasn’t not completely removed, or was frozen solid. Thus it’s like driving on a really potholed road.