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SchaumburgStormer

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Everything posted by SchaumburgStormer

  1. SchaumburgStormer
    Really, given the last couple years the fact the ground is white is a win. Anything above that is gravy. Plenty of time to reel this one in #weenie
  2. SchaumburgStormer
    Until the GFS gives us a reason to believe it, it has been awful. So I would at least put more weight in the non-GFS solutions until we get more data
  3. SchaumburgStormer
    Gfs looking similar to 12z, maybe a touch north/west edit: nope, riding the same line thru 126
  4. SchaumburgStormer
    Yup. Classic Chicago storm track. Plenty of details to refine, but my confidence is growing for at least a warning level storm. Let’s just avoid the 48 hr disappearing act which was the name of the game the past few years…
  5. SchaumburgStormer
    24-30 hour duration over the major travel days. Eek
  6. SchaumburgStormer
    Euro taking the STL to South Bend Path, looks great for N IL/WI.
  7. SchaumburgStormer
  8. SchaumburgStormer
    Shatters the flakes. GHD1 was pins and needles.
  9. SchaumburgStormer
    Regardless of the amount of snow, winds are going to make travel damn near impossible. Even 4-6” with 40-50mph winds would pull the plows from the roads. Jump that to double digits and you have a true paralyzing blizzard.
  10. SchaumburgStormer
    More or less because when they start panty dropping, the board breaks…
  11. SchaumburgStormer
    True. American. Consistency.
  12. SchaumburgStormer
    Yeah, about as big of broad brush of a 8+” as you can get area wide through Christmas Day regardless of how it plays out, I am getting pretty confident in seeing my first white Christmas in a few years
  13. SchaumburgStormer
    We may as well slap at least one map up for posterity… and the winds…
  14. SchaumburgStormer
    Didnt we have repeated GFS vs. Everyone standoffs last year with last second (within 48 hr) caves repeatedly by the GFS? We will see if the "upgrade" does anything, but certainly not putting much weight in any solution (and even less with a GFS outlier).
  15. SchaumburgStormer
    Wonderful run to run consistency, NYC goes from 0" on 06z to 2 feet on this run.
  16. SchaumburgStormer
    Yup, 12z GFS telling us "CAD" while lining up an epic nor'easter for the 95 corridor.
  17. SchaumburgStormer
    Which underperformed slightly on the most recent snow "storm" for the northern counties.
  18. SchaumburgStormer
    Well to be fair, it’s not real often you have widespread model agreement at 240hr. Lots of time to go “poof”, but it’s been a long time since we have something to track
  19. SchaumburgStormer
    Yup, GFS a bit more aggressive with the cold temps but good model agreement this far out.
  20. SchaumburgStormer
    GFS going all in on the CAD.
  21. SchaumburgStormer
    .51” of rain. Would have been a solid storm if we were 3-5 degrees cooler
  22. SchaumburgStormer
    Latest runs are a snooze-fest through 240. Not even a fantasy storm for eye candy.
  23. SchaumburgStormer
    Back end of returns approaching, not a flake in sight. Will end up getting close to .50" of rain however.
  24. SchaumburgStormer
    Rocking 34 and rain
  25. SchaumburgStormer
    Good model agreement of "something" in this timeframe. GFS seems to be the warm/north outliner at the moment, but run to run consistency is abysmal.
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