aldie 22
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Everything posted by aldie 22
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco: Winter is coming
aldie 22 replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
He seems more jumpy than the models -
Great spot...probably my next area to move to if I stay in Nova
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Curious what part of Western Loudoun are you in....is it for real Western Loudoun or Ji's version of Western Loudoun? If it's for real Western then i think your area is in a pretty good spot for this one especially Round Hill on West
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visit my patreon so i can get rich biotch!!
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some old timer convince me that osfan24 isn't the reincarnation of Colin from Eastern
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This place doesn't exist without models but dang that's some jumpy ass runs this week
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These 6z runs are way too drastic of a shift there's definitely something wonky or perhaps last night was the wonky but still...something smells
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I once speculated several years ago when I started to notice how much more difficult it was becoming for snow to accumulate on pavement what it would be like to get something like 10" of snow and none of it accumulate on the street or sidewalks. I feel bad for plow drivers, shovel makers and the ice melt companies.
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I said some
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I sure do hope some of you don't act this way in real life
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Looks like more in my area
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My envelope for this storm was 0-12" but I've since narrowed it down to 0-5"
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never fear the 18z gfs just saved the day gotta love those trends from 12z to 18z
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It's quite possible it may be sunny on Saturday now
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Seriously when two models completely switch positions and another model goes from a great run to the opposite it sure seems curious that anyone would feel comfortable making definitive statements quite yet.....besides Chuck...he's a good driver and he counts cards so.... 12z yesterday to 12z today seems jumpy at best if you ask me.
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I hope not too many snowplow drivers paid DT yet
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3 hours is an eternity
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco: Winter is coming
aldie 22 replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Weren't we in full tracking mode for this weekend until this mornings Euro? Question is if the storm for the 4th is already changing and that is affecting the storm on the 7th then why won't those constant changes mess with the long range? Same ensembles had Saturday looking pretty sweet just yesterday....just sayin man -
Oh look now the definitive predictions are rolling in....good times
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Wasn't the conversation just a day ago about the envelope of solutions and this is certainly one of them? Of course the perception of some now is that all models are trending towards this one bad run and OMG i just noticed that all of the other runs that were good had this bad look as well. It's insanity...we are basically riding this roller coaster without a seatbelt lol
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This hobby always makes me wonder....what good does looking ahead do when the new information today makes yesterdays looking ahead look awful. My wish is that the analysis is less talking about trend this and trend that or predicting what is ahead and more just this is what this model says at this point in time. Too much personal bias and interpretation in general. My opinion anyway
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Lol taking bets now on how ugly it gets in here
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My very first post on eastern in 03 was in response to a Rainstorm post when I said the angle of the wind was all wrong. It fell flat and nothing has changed since. Rainstorm was a poster who was known for saying the angle of the cold was wrong...still flat
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco: Winter is coming
aldie 22 replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
It hasn't really snowed much since you have been back has it? Leesburg is definitely a tad better than Ashburn. After I left Leesburg I ended up in Lansdowne and it was always just a little less. It will be interesting how Aldie is as I'm south but more west. This could be a fun one
