aldie 22

Just finished a teams call and my co workers in Wisconsin are getting a legit snowstorm today....i'm seriously getting in the mood now

I miss all of the conversations about the pattern being delayed and maybe denied and cans being kicked. I mean today is 12/9 which was the first window for our first snowfall...looking out the window I should have done my homework.

You sure about that Clark?

What is the mechanism that would make a model do this? Clearly that's not a realistic scenario but the model still did it....is it possible to explain why....also why it would do it two runs in a row? Just curious

It would be nice if the usual suspects would dissect why the GFS did what it did instead of hammering home why it won't happen but.....we all got a role to play here i suppose

I mean technically the early range hasn't even happened yet

Those kooky ensembles

Oh boy here we go

There's a reason i never win any of the contests

I thought I read that the birth rate was declining....guess not enough.

Baja

for some reason I wondered why you were laughing after you said "Also don't want that -PNA to dig"

If only this was March

If you saw the movie Reds with Bruce Wilis and John Malkovich i would say Chuck reminds me of the Malkovich character, I'm pretty sure there's a helicopter following Chuck right now

We just lost Tomer

Pretty sure we won't have to imagine at some point today

somebody just yelled fire in the crowded theater...best to tune back out for a bit

At least we still have this reliable indicator

It just never pays for us to get excited about a 100" winter

Maybe it's just delayed

Looks like my 70 call will fail for the 7th....but 12/19 looks like our next shot at 70

What the hell is delayed?

My expectation was that by the 15th we would potentially start seeing threats show up later in December NOT that by mid month the threats would happen. I guess it's all about expectations as Bob said, know where we live and use the experiences we all have had in understanding any kind of pattern shifts. It may be science but the expectations part are all experience IMHO

assuming you are saying the can is being kicked if you expected it to snow on the 9th?

The highs and lows on this board are incredible especially how they go from post to post. You can literally have one person who has no real experience other than gut feel take some down to extreme lows and the same in the other direction. Pretty amazing to watch honestly as we sit here on 12/5 with pretty much the weather that has been advertised for quite some time now yet people still agonizing over day to day changes and labeling it as kicking the can etc. I'll check back on 12/15 to see where the can is at that time because the can for today ended up pretty much where it was supposed to be.