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H2Otown_WX

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Everything posted by H2Otown_WX

  1. It sucks away from the south coast. Looks like something straight out of 2010. That's the risk we run with this pattern. Atlantic blocking is overrated for us...well, for me I'm far enough southwest it can help but I would rather take my chances with an overrunning pattern at peak climo.
  2. Could be OTS could be a BECS. We just don't know. All the chips are on the table. If it plays out as shown the melts will be legendary.
  3. Just missed, the wave spacing could be an issue. Of course this is so far out it probably doesn't know which energy to key on...I think if you consider its bias to be too cold in the LR we're sitting in a good spot at this juncture.
  4. Alright since no one else is gonna mention it, the 00z GFS is a sheared POS for 1/6
  5. Where's your obligatory 348 hr 2m temp map?
  6. February '06 I'm sure Hartford hit over 20" since I know W Hartford had like close to 30. Perhaps Feb '01 and January '11 came close but probably a bit short. For BDR I would guess they had over 20" in the Blizzard of '96 and probably PDII.
  7. It's ok, we'll just kick the can to mid Jan
  8. Hmm, I can think of a couple exceptions...December '04 and December '14 sucked but the winters overall were great. I mean '14-'15 relative to east of the river wasn't but it was still above normal snow and of course the record cold in Feb '15.
  9. I'm not questioning his expertise or knowledge. I just get skeptical of a big change until it gets inside D9-10. So far I'm seeing ensembles showing a change around D14. How many times do we see the pattern get significantly delayed and or not end up being as great as advertised? Do you know what phase/amplitude the MJO is looking like for early Jan?
  10. All I ask is to not look at phantom epic patterns that are always 300 hours away. Brooklyn should just make an animation of the great pattern staying at the same hour for run after run lol.
  11. This calls for the gif from way back when of you and a couple others jumping into the endless void. Wish I had it.
  12. Anyone know how much fell at Logan? It looks like 4.8 on the PNS map
  13. Good luck out east. I was hoping the NAM would score a coup but instead it got into Ron Washington's coke stash. Nothing to look forward to either, LR looks like turds.
  14. Might need to move to Neptune at this point
  15. Haha yeah I was looking at 00z although it was the Euro that looked more interesting from a precip chance perspective. I was noting mostly that the GFS was also not all that warm temperature wise between Christmas and New Years. It looks like as bad as the 06z is it also doesn't have a huge warmup.
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