OHweather

It's been snowing very lightly essentially non-stop for a little over 24 hours here now...have racked up a whopping 0.2" in that timeframe.

Looks like we'll get a couple days of light lake effect snow showers starting tomorrow and possibly extending into Friday. Instability is weak and inversions don't get much above 850mb, although there is good moisture beneath the inversion, so we will probably whiten the ground in the Snowbelt by Friday but not much more. I'm somewhat worried about freezing drizzle at times with the moisture/instability not getting above the -10C isotherm on the soundings for a good portion of the "event." We'll see what next week brings. Even if the synoptic storm on the models misses us, it should get colder for some better lake effect on the backside depending on the wind direction.

We should have synoptic storms to track over the last 10 days of the month, whether they actually hit us with snow vs miss to the east or cut too far to the west remain to be seen. The GFS and Euro ensembles are showing a chilly look after Christmas, so we'll see if that can get the LES machine cranking. I'm hoping for an active next 4 weeks either way.

Actually, based on the image Cyclone posted, they were in fact lucky, with houses leveled immediately to their NW. This is a dumb arguement, Cyclone did a lot of work trying to find where these videos were shot which as a reader is extremely helpful. He was also correct that the tornado bending ESE before lifting caused it to track over the house that particular video was filmed at. He was also correct in stating that if they were not hit by the tornado when it was in its weakening stages that their house may have suffered much more damage, and that perhaps they could have been injured/killed. Based on the image Cyclone has already posted, the tornado was without a doubt weakening when it struck their location: Edit: Evidently I'm wrong.

Cyclone is correct in that the tornado was weakening rather quickly at the location that particular video was filmed at, it had already weakened from an EF-5 to EF-4 and was well on its way to an EF-2 at the time. Either way the tornado was done doing its worst damage. That does make a big difference which is why they were "lucky" the tornado hit them while it was weakening and on its way to lifting.

I have some relatives who live in Atlanta and have a weekend house up near Sky View/Dillard. Any tornado, if it was on the ground went close to their house. They'll be up there Friday and evaluate any damage at that time.

BHAM storm on ABC 33/40