Looks to be our best chance at something big. GFS's looks somewhat juicy early next week but they are on an island with leading that energy out in front. Does make for fun times watching all the wishcasting it away on the MA.
So the HRRR has been the bastion of 2M temps the last couple days and it is indeed suggesting 75-80 LSV tomorrow. So those calls for 80 are in play. 50+ degree temp swing in 36 hours from Thursday afternoon to Sat AM.
I looked at the 384 hour CMCE and GEFS snow depth maps and both predict 4-8"" left for them on March 26th. Ironically the CMC says we have snow on the ground at that point.
It pretty much stalls then transfers. It's probably not going to happen that way but it has real potential to give @Wmsptwx his predicted big snow. I will be surprised if there are not a few EPS members that wallop PA that weekend.
Euro at 192 has some interest to it. Will cut but a bit better blocking will make it interesting. Need that high in Canada to race out 12-24 hours faster.
This proclamation usually proceeds someone pointing out how the change of time makes snow stickage less likely because they confuse the "one more hour of daylight" to mean we snap our fingers and get one one extra hour of sun.
6 days straight of below normal temps. Some of it cloud and precip induced. We have scored some pretty decent snow from LSP's minoring out well to our west (this season) so the trend is there for it there to be a possibility albeit the GFS is the extreme version of it.
GFS trended several degrees warmer with 2M temps for Sunday AM but still paddles the MA wronginista's with midday Monday snow. Edit-And a second snow storm Tuesday! LOL. Clown maps are going to be juicy.
The GFS is getting so little respect these days that pretty much everyone is ignoring the WSW slop event, with marginal temps, in VA for early next week.
We never made it to 60 today...on the way down now at 57 with a cool mostly easterly wind gusting over 20. Maybe tomorrow. I know most of the LSV scored big warm wise.