Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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We really did not experience much expect very heavy rain. It may have passed overhead though. It was 5 min max.
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Yep, especially up your way. Those MDT temps are always warm as we know.
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It is pouring here now.
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LOL. As I have stated a few times, part of my motivation this year was peeking into the MA and seeing the Spring fling crowd starting a month too early in mid to late February. With that said, a freeze the first week of April is not all that uncommon. If we got down to 20ish that would be something. Apparently it got down to 11 at MDT on April 1, 1923 though the records for Apr 2nd and 3rd are not out of reach at 22 and 24 respectively.
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Icon is close with a follow up wave Thursday
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Stay in the 40's tomorrow?
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We had one loud clap of thunder and it was done.
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Yea, cannot blame the Euro for not having it at 300+ hours since the op does not go out that far. But Friday is looking quite cold and this Monday is going to be cold as well....40's and lower 50's with very brisk NW winds. Once thing I have noticed about the CMC is that it has been better in predicting that the cold will not leave as fast as the other models predict re: the CMC's coldest Teams are actually Sat AM while the Euro and GFS are Fri Am.
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CMC 2M Temps have been the king around here the last month or two. I know on urban islands it has been too cold. Still 5+ days away but the GFS still due some credit if this comes to fruition.
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Zones have the S word now :-). Temp thing is still the big news to me. Chance of not break freezing one day.
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Yea, we shall see if it happens. It's the extreme version of the current runs but they almost all go into the low 20's which is not really much different.
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Even more than snow, the chance of lows in the teens could be a big headliner next weekend.
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We only made it to 75 here. Still way above average.
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Count me in as proud of you. For April that is a HECS for some. Not enough for Baltimore though.
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Been a signal for it at least a week out now.
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As long as you do not harm him :-)
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I would not bet on anything being right that far out... human or model but if it comes to fruition I would have to give the GFS a little credit for seeing it out in the 300+ hr range.
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EC is down with the early April deep freeze now. Nice frontal passage with big temp swing preceding it.
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We were over 10" below normal for a large period of the summer last year. I know it was scattered but for some last years drought was moderate to major.
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Euro has what appears to be the front passage but not nearly as cold. GFS is sort of in between....has a couple night freezes.
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Yea, its not at all a forecast but its along the same lines of the GFS frontal passage and freeze that it had a few days ago. I have been a little selfish with judging the CMC and only looking in my back yard but it has been the far better predictor of low temps recently....at my place.
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When it gets out past 240 hours, there is not much more to look at for 2M temps except the GFS but yea everything is a grain of salt with GFS discussion. With that said the CMC shows the freeze now as well and it has been doing much better with temps. So still something to watch. Temps do not break freezing on April 2nd/Good Friday.
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Quite busy this week so have not looked much but when I last looked at the euro it did not go out that far yet. Gas was advertising teens for April 1 or 2 when I looked in the last day or 2
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GFS has been making early April a freeze out for several runs in a row.
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The GFS is sure to spin something up soon. It still spinning up a terrible April Fools day for the warm crew.
