Jump to content

Bubbler86

Members
  • Posts

    29,682
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. A 13 degree difference in DP and temp is pretty dry when at the edge of a precip shield.
  2. The DP, on the Nam, goes from the mid 20's at midnight to the mid teens mid Monday morning...near the M/D line. Not a recipe for snow when the 2M temps are in the upper 20s mid morning.
  3. Sunday, Sunday, Sunday! At the Farm Show Arena...see the GFS squash the Nam
  4. Oh I know you are, that is why I put the LOL's in. If the GFS does not budge south its going to be real interesting for CTP.
  5. Hard to call them all crappy when the event is 12-18 hours away. Not exactly common practice to throw out the Meso's this close. LOL. Global mania going on here. LOL.
  6. 18Z Nam is no where near S Central PA again. Not much for the Northern MA either. How many models are we ignoring now? Href, Nam, HRRR, Rap, Icon. Throw them out!
  7. Definitely, both possibilities. But can you ignore the GFS and the Euro? If they do not budge at 18Z, I am not sure how you can.
  8. If not for the GFS and a bit of the Euro, we would probably not even be talking about this as the rest of the modeling is a nothing burger for PA. (Unless someone wanted to do some actually Met work and not model reading like I am doing today!)
  9. If I were CTP, I would definitely do advisories for the S and SE sides of Adams, York and Lancaster considering the timing of back to work.
  10. That is what I read in MA. Along with the NAM. A singular entity replacing them.
  11. It's a trender I think. Not great for qpf but it sometimes does well with spotting changes. Apparently it's being retired.
  12. 17z....more of a central VA crusher. Basically no snow in PA through the 18 hour run.
  13. The snow map is pretty sparse with mixing near by and the progressive natural of the speed/track, but way too specific for worry this far out.
  14. Euro @96, the @Superstorm system beginning to take shape in the TN Valley.
  15. Southern parts of border counties (east) are getting close to WSW level.
  16. Yep, getting closer to MU! LOL. Philly gets jacked by the Euro Kuch map.
  17. VERY slight tick north in shield at 24 (for PA Concerns) .
  18. Still in the low to mid 40's as we go into night (Euro). SLP is slightly north at 12.
  19. @paweather, get your Euro F5 key pressing...refresh, refresh, refresh, LOL
  20. If one always took the negative route to snow possibilities, they would be right far more than wrong...in an average winter.
×
×
  • Create New...