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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    GFS is north through 36
  2. Bubbler86
    18Z Nam still does not care what the GFS is showing. It bent to allow a weak disturbance (a few runs ago) but is still a total southern slider. Tidewater sees a little rain on its way by to the south.
  3. Bubbler86
    Agreed. Any storm that forms in the TN Valley is crap shot at best for pin pointing more than a day or two out.
  4. Bubbler86
    HRRR is a lot like the 12Z GFS. GFS gaining momentum for the slam dunk win over the EC and Nam. It's a bit if a disaster for the far Eastern Tidewater folks and a sign of hope for N VA.
  5. Bubbler86
    This is a PA forum but will comment that my Cav's were going to be playing in the inaugural Fenway bowl so just the fact that you guys got to play makes me jealous. I was looking forward to UVA being a trivia answer....they do not get much respect and trivia answers are something.
  6. Bubbler86
    That was probably the game (the pick).
  7. Bubbler86
    He finished it with 'It's not my decision'. I rolled my eyes.
  8. Bubbler86
    Sorry man. I saw a Franklin interview, last evening, where he was talking about the whys of burning Red Shirts and his way of broaching the subject was cringe worthy as to the lack of confidence coming from him.
  9. Bubbler86
    The Euro is deeper and more "energetic" than the Icon, but the low positions, if you follow the complete path of the storm, are about as close as you can get in a system 5 days away. Example below of hour 132. The Euro is a classic Chattanooga Choo Choo with reformation on the coast.
  10. Bubbler86
    Also, one of my favorites, the storm will pull down air from Canada.
  11. Bubbler86
    That is the thing, though. GFS is seemingly on its own with this scenario of a foot or more. Rgem/CMC have somewhat similar qpf amounts but a warmer column so half the snow. Do not have access to the 6Z Euro. Icon and Nam do not separate the two SLP's to do much of anything N MA wise. Hwrf has some qpf but again, warmer.
  12. Bubbler86
    Close to 20" in South Central VA through the next 7 days of the GFS. I will take the under on that.
  13. Bubbler86
    Lots of virga apparently. The land truth only shows snow in the far S/E vs. that sim radar shot.
  14. Bubbler86
    We have had about 1/2" the last 12 hours.
  15. Bubbler86
    Take it or leave it, but the Icon is very interesting for late week. A Chattanooga Choo Choo. LSV wise, almost perfect trough placement for land based Miller A scenario.
  16. Bubbler86
    The GFS does have that accumulating snow but it is on its own...cannot find anything else that supports it. The closest is the long range HWRF but its not really that supportive.
  17. Bubbler86
    I am pretty interested in what plays out over the next 36 hours. The latest Nam, though veering a bit toward having a definable storm in the South East, is still so far off from the GFS depiction that it's a bit shocking. Precip field is multiple hundreds of miles apart between the two.
  18. Bubbler86
    The Oz GFS was not good for the 1/7 system but forget why. For this far out, the 6Z GFS and 0Z EC both look remarkably similar over us both at the surface and 500MB/Jet Stream. GFS is just slightly more progressive.
  19. Bubbler86
    Up until now the GFS had little support but the HRRR just gave it a bit. Not to the Northern Extent of the GFS but a more widespread snow event for some.
  20. Bubbler86
    Yea, too much of a "good" thing. Bad timing for you.
  21. Bubbler86
    6Z GFS pretty much on its own here but shows accumulating snows in the Southern and Eastern LSV for tomorrow night/Monday AM. Also surprised no one posted about the 1/7 system. Both the EC and GFS just a tad too far WEst with the storm track, for the LSV, but gets most areas North and West of the LSV. 1/3 1/7
  22. Bubbler86
    I remember watching your area with envy!
  23. Bubbler86
    50 to bring in the new year here. 49 at Mdt.
  24. Bubbler86
    Gfs v. Nam still in play.
  25. Bubbler86
    I was hoping it missed us so I could more easily get out tomorrow. Nam does miss us most of Sat night...at least the heavier stuff.
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