Turning out to be a great day. Up to 59. Euro is so far west with Nicole that we may need to start talking severed in the warm sector. Euro has the temps rising to near 70 overnight Friday night.
Icon picks up a post Nicole SLP and throws quite a bit of rain back over the LSV into upper 30's and low 40's temps....Sat night. GFS had something similar but way east and a day or so later so no precip over the LSV
Yea, not looking for issues with Susq but something like 3" would cause local hydrology issues re, road closures and stuff. We have several creeks that would flood with 2-3" in 12-24 hrs. Here is the stream flow map. Much of the center of the state is below normal. Just west of the LSV is in minimal drought right now.
I did what I think will be my penultimate mow yesterday. The grass needed it. Deep green right now. Once we get into those forecasted teens and low 20's next week, that will put a kibosh on any more growing so probably one more Sat afternoon if it dries out enough and the temp is warm enough to get it started.
Not forecasting, just reading models on this one. Everything shows almost the entire state of PA is at risk for 2+" with many areas getting 3,4 or 5". So, 2-4" seems the safe bet right now. It is a warm, humid late/early summer like rain as well.