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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    34/27 here....still not saturated as nothing making it to the ground yet.
  2. Bubbler86
    I was thinking waking hours for morning 6- 8, 8-10, and 10-12. Some model depictions have both a MSLP (pressure)/Precip option as well as a Radar option so you can see what they are predicting virga wise. The GFS on TT has this. MSLP and Precip is predicting actual precip on the ground while radar will often show the virga.
  3. Bubbler86
    The wind is the main show here right now. We have had gusts near 40. If we do get some heavier snow with the wind, that will be something to see.
  4. Bubbler86
    That is my only guess. The other local schools are already busses rolling so they are committed to a full day it appears.
  5. Bubbler86
    Yea, most do not do that around here. Chambersburg may be waiting to cancel. Waynesboro and Greencastle are busses rolling it appears.
  6. Bubbler86
    Most model I saw showed the snow and rain moving in mid to late morning.
  7. Bubbler86
    Chambersburg schools on a 2 hour delay this Am. Strange...
  8. Bubbler86
    32/27 and quite windy this AM. Lots of snow/virga to the west.
  9. Bubbler86
    These close situations always bring out the worst in model site difference. Tt is never good for mixed so we have pivotal and wb with its normal large differences.
  10. Bubbler86
    The pivotal map looks nothing like that. Has 1" in western Cumberland.
  11. Bubbler86
    That is what gfs shows. Kuch is 3.8 at Mdt while 10-1 is 5. On pivotal. Like rgem it is a bit scattershot on where the snow totals end up.
  12. Bubbler86
    Basically what atomix said
  13. Bubbler86
    Rgem really strange depiction but on the plus side it did move snow south. Rouzerville to trainingtime special.
  14. Bubbler86
    Someone is going to be dry slotted on the waa. Hopefully people in other states.
  15. Bubbler86
    Being a big fan of the Nam, this is one of the times I would like to see other Meso's follow. No go on the 01Z HRRR for the higher amounts but let's see what the Rgem does. Nam bounced too much between runs.
  16. Bubbler86
    Nam with a big adjustment south. This is Kuch.
  17. Bubbler86
    Rain turning to snow (snow mostly West and S/W of MDT) spreads into the LSV between 10 and 11 tomorrow on the 0Z HRRR. Quick glance at the snow map shows a similar setup to 18Z. Snow does not make much inroads S/E of Harrisburg.
  18. Bubbler86
    I expect to see a plow sitting at every major exit on 15/83 tomorrow AM!
  19. Bubbler86
    Yea, different suites algorithms really vary especially in questionable situations like this. Sometimes make discussions seem off base unfortunately.
  20. Bubbler86
    You are right there. It is near 1" in the LSV.
  21. Bubbler86
    In my area it is 3.0 to 4.6 just using the map numbers. But with a snow of 4" a 1" difference is 25%. Substantial.
  22. Bubbler86
    Yea, it is useful for compares but is not always better than simply 10-1. A lot of posters (mostly in the MA) post the one that shows the most snow regardless of conditions.
  23. Bubbler86
    Not on these maps. 1-2" difference.
  24. Bubbler86
    GFS and Euro leading the snow train. KUCH is MUCH lower vs 10-1 one the GFS in the LSV but still the top like you said.
  25. Bubbler86
    Euro 12Z. Still better than most though more steps down from its uber run 36 hours ago. Albany and Binghamton both eventually go to rain or taint.
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